Thank you, Mr. Chair.
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PearTree is a firm that specializes in funding mining and oil companies [technical difficulty]. We've been around for about eight years. Our expertise is really in the Canadian industry, and we focus on flow through [technical difficulty].
Let me introduce myself. I'm originally from Quebec, and I now work as a lawyer on Bay Street in the securities industry. I've been involved in the mining sector for about 16 years. I started my career at Barrick Gold, quite a large global company.
Over the course of my career, I've done less and less legal work and more and more work as a business executive in smaller firms. I was recently the president and CEO of Falco Resources, a small company that operates in Rouyn-Noranda, where the former Horne mine is located.
Moving to slide two, there's something I'd like to show you about the financial crisis. This will be familiar. You can throw up a lot of sectors and get something similar.
What you see, committee members, is the gold sector, and specifically local gold producers from 2007 to 2016.
There are a couple of things I would like to highlight. One is that I've called out the Lehman bankruptcy and what it did to our market. I speak now as a corporate finance person, but first and foremost as a miner, and as somebody who spent a big part of his career in the mining sector. We've been on our knees for about eight years now. This chart overstates how good it was for that three-year period, from 2009 to 2011, because you're looking at gold, which was, of course, a flight to safety. I'm showing this for a particular reason.
The second call-out that I have there shows the Lac des Îles mine. It's a platinum and palladium mine in Thunder Bay, in northwestern Ontario. I had the privilege of working there for about five years of my career as a lawyer and then as a business person. One of the worst days of my professional career happened shortly after the Lehman crisis, when the price of palladium collapsed from about $450 per ounce of palladium down to about $170 per ounce of palladium over a very short period.
It underlines the reality in commodity space that your most important variables are entirely out of your control. For us, that means foreign exchange, since commodities are priced in U.S. dollars, and in this case it's the price of palladium. You can have the best business plan and the best business team, but on execution, if you're hitting the wrong part of the cycle, then you're out of luck unless you happen to be in that bottom quartile of the market where you can withstand the downturns. Of course, by definition, we can't all be in the bottom quartile.
I was driving up to the Lac des Îles mine on the morning of our shutdown with our VP of operations. As we were heading up, there was a nickel mine in Sudbury that was shutting down that day, and we were about to deliver the news to the general manager and to the superintendent that we were going to close the mine. It resulted in the laying off of 350 people, or as I like to say, 350 families. As we were driving up there, we had CBC radio on, and they were talking already about the impact of the great recession on the local economy and the draw on the food banks in the Thunder Bay area. My colleague looked at me as we were driving up the road, and he said, “They have no idea what's coming.” Two hours later, we served notice that the mine was shutting down.
It was one of the biggest employers in the region. For 15 months that mine stayed idle. It costs several million dollars to shut down a mine, and it costs several million more to reopen a mine. When you're living in uncertain times, you have to be sure of the decision both to shut down and to reopen. It's not something I would want to repeat, but that's all to emphasize that we need all the help we can get in order to build viable, sustainable businesses. Once we are up and running and executing, then we can make a real difference in the communities in which we operate, and we take great pride in doing that.
To move forward past 2009, 2010, and 2011, the chart shows how well gold did perform. I found myself shortly afterwards at a company called AuRico Gold, and we had the pleasure of opening a new mine, the Young-Davidson mine in Kirkland Lake. It's fortuitous that we have Mr. Batise with us. He knows the mine very well. We have an IBA with one of the members of the Wabun Tribal Council.
We did well, but we saw the downturn in gold again in 2012. You can see the sharp decline on our chart. We found ourselves in another situation. We had a good mine. It is, I would say, one of the better underground mines, not just in Canada but in the world, in terms of technology and efficiency in the way things were done, but again we faced a situation where we had to cut back on expenditures, take some people off site, and, more particularly, lay off a third of our personnel at the head office.
Moving forward to today, you can see that in 2016 our chart shows that we've had a pretty good recovery for gold, with a bit of a pullback now as we await both the U.S. election and what the Federal Reserve is going to do in terms of interest rates.
I would like to highlight the fact that the recovery we've seen, while it's been strong, has been concentrated mostly with producers, and not evenly shared. It's been focused in gold. The state we're at, as shown on our index, takes us back to where we were in the recovery post-Lehman and, prior to that, to 2005. There is a road to recovery, but it's slow.
If you look to the next slide, slide 3, I want to zero in, if I may, on the state of the junior market.
The index shows you the small-cap diversified mining, so you have both base metals and gold, and you have the explorers. I spend a lot of time both with the producers and in working with the explorers. Having run a mining junior, I'll say that it's difficult when you don't have cash flow, frankly, to state the obvious, because every dollar you spend is money you're going to have to raise again from your shareholder base.
At PearTree this year, in terms of corporate finance and raising equity, we've had a very strong year, but as I said earlier, it's been focused on the bigger, stronger producers. The junior market has been a little more selective.
You can see on the slide the recovery that we saw early in the year. The base metals started to enjoy that. We've flatlined over the last little while because there's still a lot of uncertainty around the globe, and our fortunes are very much tied to the global economy, a lot of it in base metals in China. With gold, a lot of it right now has to do with the interest rate environment.
We do compete globally for capital. Bringing it back to the focus of the discussion for PearTree today on the issue of flow-through, for which we are the largest providers of capital in the country today, flow-through really is what makes us competitive on the global scale. When I am talking to investors in Switzerland or the U.S. or to strategic investors from around the globe, the ability for them to get involved in what are higher-risk, earlier-stage, and essentially venture capital opportunities is aided greatly by the fact that we have a flow-through regime that provides an opportunity for win-win formulas.
For PearTree, in our case we take the traditional flow-through regime, which passes on tax incentives to Canadian investors, and we turn that into a mechanism that allows those credits to enable better philanthropy for Canadian charities while also enabling foreign investors to come into our markets—again, at that early high-risk capital stage—and bring money from around the world into the north and into all of our remote regions.
I think the uncertainty we have had in the resource sector over the last eight years has been compounded of late. There is a high degree of uncertainty just with regard to the Canadian policy framework. I hear about that every day from my colleagues, whether it be the brokers and dealers or the issuers I deal with, and even from some on the buy side, in terms of where Canada stands. What is the future of the flow-through regime generally? What's the future of the METC or the super flow-through regime? Over the weekend we were getting calls on capital gains and whether those would change, because, of course, an increase in the inclusion rate of capital gains would effectively kill flow-through for the mining industry.
We have so much uncertainty inherent in what we do. On behalf of the industry, I would like to state that we're grateful for any kind of clarity we can get with respect to the vision and the way forward for mining in the years ahead.
Surely you've seen the statistics from the Mining Association of Canada. They have published statistics that show 375,000 people are employed across Canada in the mining and mineral resource processing sectors.
Moving along to slide 4, very briefly, this shows the breakdown of how Canadian issuers on the TMX—so that's the TSX and TSXV—are distributed. This is across the Lassonde curve, named after Pierre Lassonde. It's an oft-cited representation of the performance of a company's stock price through the natural evolution. In the early stages, pre-discovery, you're a penny stock. Once you find something that looks like it has potential, you move up that discovery curve. Then you peak, until such time as you make a decision to develop, and of course construction is a high-risk activity. You have to execute on time and on budget and be certain of the expected deliverables.
You go into a period of a bit of a no man's land before you hit production, and if you are successful, then you enjoy the appreciation of your stock and the re-rate that a producer gets.
The TMX today has about 1,300 issuers. It's an impressive number of companies listed here in Canada because of our expertise and because of the knowledge base we have. It's unsurpassed by any stock exchange in the world.
If you look at the breakdown on this chart, the TMX is reporting that about 200 of the listed issuers would fall in the category of producers. There are 100 in the developer stage, and more than a thousand, obviously the vast majority, would be in the exploration stage.
In the exploration stage, to state the obvious, those are the people that do not have cash flow. That's the highest-risk activity we can undertake in our industry, and that's the part of the curve that is the most reliant on the flow-through share regime.
Statistics vary in terms of how many properties ultimately will become a mine. One of the steeper estimates that I've seen is the Kennecott and Rio Tinto report in 2006 that said for every target that you undertake an evaluation on, one in over 3,300 will actually become a world-class operation. You might say one in 1,000 might become a mine or a viable prospect.
It's a high risk. There are some criticisms of the industry and the flow-through that say we're funding uneconomic objectives, but it's these odds that create the million-dollar capex—capital expenditure—projects and future mines that employ hundreds of people and transform regions of our country.
To highlight, the Éléonore gold mine in the James Bay region, which recently opened up, was a beneficiary of flow-through, as was the Meadowbank mine. Committee members may have recently received an invitation to visit that facility. There is the Agnico Eagle mine in Nunavut, and that invitation is still standing. That was a product of a flow-through as well. The list also includes Voisey's Bay in Newfoundland, the Ekati and Diavik diamond mines in the Northwest Territories, Young-Davidson, of which I spoke earlier, and so on.
We have to wonder how many of these would not have been discovered but for the availability of flow-through to the juniors, because the juniors really are the feeder systems for the producers of the Barricks and Agnicos of the world.
If we turn to slide number five—