Good morning, everybody. Thank you very much for the opportunity to speak today about the important role that low-carbon fuels will play in Canada's move to a net-zero future.
The Government of Canada is committed to reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. To get there, we know our economy will need to be powered by two key pathways: electricity and clean fuels.
Today, clean fuels are less than 5% of Canada’s total energy supply. Even with ambitious electrification, we know that 60% or more of our national energy demand will need to be met with low-carbon fuels to reach our net-zero goal.
Clean fuels represent the most effective way for hard-to-abate industries, such as cement, steel, heavy-duty transport and oil and gas, to lower their emissions and meet their goals. These sectors represent upwards of two-thirds, or 65%, of Canada’s emissions.
For this reason, December’s strengthened climate plan emphasizes new and enhanced measures to increase demand for clean fuels, including the pollution price and the clean fuel standard. It also includes the commitment to a $1.5-billion low-carbon fuels fund to enhance the production and use of clean fuels in Canada.
Before we look at the opportunities they present, let me take a moment to define what clean or low-carbon fuels mean. When we talk about them, we're talking about a range of fuels with significantly lower carbon content than conventional fuels. We're talking about hydrogen, advanced biofuels, renewable natural gas and synthetic fuels. They're made from a variety of sources found abundantly in Canada: agriculture, which we just heard a bit about; forest and municipal waste; clean electricity; and natural gas or petroleum when it's coupled with carbon capture and storage techniques.
The fact that modern biofuels are often produced from wastes presents environmental benefits. For example, the Canadian Forest Service, which is here with us today, estimates that if we were to use just half of the 65 million tonnes of wood residues that go to waste annually, we could heat more than four million homes in Canada and reduce our net emissions by 6.6 megatonnes each year.
Clean fuels are at various stages of market readiness. We have all been buying ethanol-blended gasoline at the pumps for years. However, other clean fuels have limited domestic production, and more research, development and deployment are required to drive down costs and open more end uses. This allows for a transitional approach. We can get emission reductions today from market-ready clean fuels, and even more reductions over the coming years as the next generation of fuels becomes more widely available.
The federal government has been playing an important role in establishing a clean fuel sector in Canada for decades. This support has helped build a number of world-leading companies, such as Ballard Power, Hydrogenics, Enerkem and Carbon Engineering. Through decades of research and programming, NRCan and the Government of Canada have helped get the clean fuels industry to where it is today. Our provincial and territorial partners, as well as indigenous businesses and communities, also see the benefits of advancing the clean fuels economy, knowing it will create jobs and opportunities in every region of our country.
Clean fuels offer a crucial low-carbon pathway for Canada’s conventional energy sector. For example, Canada’s vast natural gas and petroleum reserves, as well as our expertise in carbon abatement, can be levered to produce hydrogen, which can in turn be used as feedstock in oil and gas production processes, further reducing emissions in this sector.
The skill sets required in the fossil fuel industry and the low-carbon fuels industry are often directly transferable. By 2050, the hydrogen industry alone could employ over 350,000 Canadians, and many of these workers could come from oil and gas industries or build on their skill sets. Similarly, refinery facilities can be repurposed to produce clean fuels.
Clean fuels also represent a tremendous export opportunity for Canada. Take hydrogen as an example. The hydrogen strategy that was released in December aims to make Canada a supplier of choice for clean hydrogen, and the technologies to use it, in a global market that's expected to reach almost $12 trillion by 2050. If we seize the hydrogen opportunity domestically, by 2050 it could make up 30% of Canada’s energy mix, resulting in 190 megatonnes of emissions reduction and contributing more than $50 billion to the GDP.
Many other countries also see hydrogen as a major component of their energy and environment strategies and are making significant investments. Over the last 18 months, more than 20 countries have released their own hydrogen strategies and have committed more than $80 billion to this.
That's why we're working with governments around the world. Through initiatives like the Clean Energy Ministerial, where we co-chair the hydrogen initiative and the biofutures initiative, Canada's policy leadership and technology leadership are showcased on the world stage. These initiatives help us foster strategic partnerships that are essential to grow global demand for clean fuels, open new export opportunities and attract more foreign direct investment.
We know that Canada needs to continue to thrive as an energy nation in a global low-carbon economy, and to do so, we must seize the opportunity of clean fuels as a key pathway or risk being left behind.
I'm very grateful to be here today and to be joined by two experts from our ministry, who can also respond to your questions. Dr. Anne-Hélène Mathey is the director of economic analysis from the Canadian Forest Service, and Dr. Aaron Hoskin is a senior manager from the fuel diversification division.
I'll pause there. I look forward to answering your questions.
Thanks very much.