Okay.
The data collected by Statistics Canada provide the federal, provincial and territorial governments with population figures for their jurisdictions and contain the necessary information on variables such as age, ethnic origin and language. More specifically, the census can also shed light on the vitality of Francophone minority communities.
Although that vitality will be tested in the coming years, francophone minority communities have a valuable tool: a Canada-wide network of minority-language educational institutions that is protected, publicly funded, and managed by and for the members of the minority. The various levels of government need census data that tell them the size of francophone communities and the number of section 23 rights holders so that they can plan public policies and the delivery of services to those communities.
Section 23 gives education rights to Canadian citizens, francophone minority parents, who fall into one of the three rights-holder categories: first, parents whose first language learned and still understood is French; second, parents who received their elementary education in French in a minority setting; and third, parents with a child who was educated or is being educated in French in a minority setting.
To properly plan and implement public policies regarding French-language education in francophone minority communities, the education ministries and departments need data about the three categories of right holders. However, not all of that data is available. The census does not ask questions about the last two categories of rights holders. As a result, only parents in the first category are counted.
This problem is of concern to the commissioner's office for three main reasons.
The education ministries and departments do not know the exact number of rights-holders and will therefore underestimate the number of eligible children in making plans for their elementary and secondary school systems. Moreover, the vitality and demographic weight of francophone minority communities are declining. More accurate enumeration of rights-holders would encourage enrolment of rights-holders' children in early childhood programs, which in turn would ensure a continuum of learning in French.
In the special report entitled “When the most elementary becomes secondary: Homework Incomplete, the Commissioner's Office”, I recommended that the ministry of education revise its practices for assessing French-language education needs and use the inclusive definition of francophone, which is the calculation method officially adopted by the Ontario government, in order to better reflect the diverse reality of the French-language school boards' potential student population and make more accurate enrolment projections.
If the number of rights-holders in a particular community does not warrant a school under section 23, the education ministries and departments will usually not build one. However, if the education ministries and departments are using census data to do enrolment planning, they are using partial data, since the census does not measure the number of rights-holders in the last two categories. Clearly, therefore, the actual numbers of rights-holders across Canada warrant more schools and larger schools in many francophone minority communities.
The British Columbia Supreme Court's decision in the Conseil scolaire francophone de Ia Colombie-Britannique v. British Columbia (Education) case confirms the dangers inherent in education ministries and departments using only the partial data from the census to determine the maximum potential number of rights-holders in a community. There is a real danger that the province or territory will underestimate the number of rights-holders and carry out enrolment planning that does not reflect reality. In addition, the provinces and territories could use the lower number of rights-holders to justify allocating fewer resources to French-language school boards.
In summary, Statistics Canada needs to update the census by adding questions to measure the number of parents in the last two categories and provide an accurate count of the number of rights-holders in a given community so that education ministries and departments can base their enrolment planning on the actual number of rights-holders.
Statistics Canada recently published a report on immigration and the vitality of the Canadian Francophonie. The figures are alarming: between 2015 and 2035, the proportion of the population outside Quebec whose mother tongue is French is expected to drop from 3.8% to 2.7%, excluding immigrants whose mother tongue is not French but who are fluent in the language.
This decline is attributed not only to immigration but also to the low fertility and aging of francophones outside Quebec. These conclusions are echoed by the report entitled “Immigration and Diversity: Population Projections for Canada and its Regions, 2011 to 2036”. By 2036, the number of people whose mother tongue is neither English nor French could increase to between 26% and 30.6% of the national population, compared with 20% in 2011.
The decline in the demographic weight of the French language is worrisome, especially since Ontario has been unable to reach its goal of 5% francophone immigration. The French-language school system will become more important as a means of preserving the French language and francophone culture. Consequently, the ministries and departments cannot afford to use partial data from the census, which does not contain questions designed to enumerate the members of all three categories of rights-holders.
From preschool programs to elementary and secondary school and then to post-secondary studies, the proper enumeration of rights-holders is also essential for maintaining the continuum of learning in French in Ontario. There is a very important connection between access to minority-language education under section 23 and the delivery of early childhood services. According to the report entitled “Early Childhood: Fostering the Vitality of Francophone Minority Communities”, my colleague, the former commissioner of official languages, pointed out that French-language services provided to young children not only support acquisition of the language but also promote the development of a sense of belonging to the francophone community.
In Ontario, it is clear that early childhood programs funded by the provincial government play a crucial role in maintaining the identity connection to the French language among young children, particularly the children of exogamous couples.
The two levels of government should engage in a dialogue and work together to arrange suitable early childhood services that would be equivalent to the early childhood services provided in the majority language.
When the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Children and Youth Services are planning the numbers of spaces in those centres, they should base their work on the potential number of rights holders according to data from the updated census. Minority-language early childhood programs undoubtedly serve as feeders for minority-language elementary schools.
If two questions are added to the census to measure the number of rights holders in the last two categories and if the inclusive definition of "francophone” is used, we believe that there will be more children in preschool programs, which will lead to higher enrolment in elementary, secondary, and post-secondary institutions. This continuum of learning creates a critical mass of young francophones, which is vital for francophone minority communities.
Francophone minority communities are facing a number of challenges that may seem insurmountable. In view of low fertility rates, declining demographic weight and the effects of assimilation, rights-holders need, now more than ever, an education system that is comprehensive, appropriate and of equivalent quality.
A shortage of schools, or schools of equal quality, often results in an exodus of Francophone students to English-language schools. The census must ask the questions needed to measure the numbers of rights-holders in all three categories.
I therefore propose that the federal government add two questions to the 2021 census to produce a complete, representative enumeration of rights-holders. These two new questions should be able to show how many parents received their elementary education in the minority official language in accordance with subsection (23(1)(b). Asking people if they completed their elementary education in French is a fairly simple question. We also need to ask how many parents have a child who received or is receiving his or her elementary or secondary education in the minority official language, in accordance with subsection 23(2), and whether they have a child enrolled in a French-language school. These changes should be made in time to allow for the inclusion of these questions in the next census.
Thank you once again for your attention. I look forward to your questions, which I will answer to the best of my ability.