The Conference Board model is composed of three things. There are historical trends, numbers that come from our own statistical database. Then a macroeconomic factor is GDP. People are more affluent; they travel more and so on. Then there's a third component, which is basically a series of surveys they conduct on an ongoing basis to assess how many people intend to travel.
We took that model last year, and we missed the target, obviously. This year we took the same model and we invited a group of experts to review the model—actuaries from different departments, math professors from Ottawa U and other places. The model is being refined as we speak, according to some of the recommendations they have made.
Another thing we're doing is we're conducting a survey in June to basically measure Canadians' intentions to travel, not only to the United States but elsewhere in the world. One component we're also adding to the model, which was not there before, is asking people whether or not they want to acquire a passport only to travel or as an identity document. The passport is used more and more to get your health card and so on. So we may have people who will not apply for a passport because they're flying south or whatever but basically because it's a good ID document. That should give us a better measure of what we should expect next fall.