I'll be relating some of the methodologies that the Department of Finance uses in their projections.
I'm going from the presentations that I've seen the Deputy Minister of Finance provide, and I'm going a little bit from memory here, Chair, but I know they look at various projections in the private sector. I've actually seen the tables where they will look through the high projections and the low projections and at the assumptions that have been built into that, and then they'll try to average them out. That actually isn't work that my office does; it's work that the finance department does. But I do know that they go through a fairly detailed kind of analysis of the information that's available to them.
On the very specific question as to when the point came when folks actually were feeling we might have a deficit this year, I would actually leave that particular, if I may, to the Department of Finance to answer.