I can tell you, in the case of my brother, that it is going to happen. John took it to Federal Court. The current minister was given 45 days to reconsider. It was then approved after reconsideration. On December 15, my brother will cross the Canadian border and be brought into Canadian custody. He will be processed. As a first-time, non-violent offender, he'll be in what I understand is a statutory release program. He has received zero rehabilitation, and he will return to Canada and be released into the population without having anything resembling rehabilitation.
On November 15th, 2010. See this statement in context.