I would say that the probability is high. The more groups of exiles or diasporas that exist in a particular country or community that are viewed as oppositional to the sending authoritarian country, the greater the likelihood of digital surveillance, digital intimidation and then actual physical intimidation. This isn't just a Russian issue. You also have experience of this, for example, with Chinese agents operating within Canadian territory. This is a broader phenomenon of the extraterritorial reach of authoritarians and how information technology enables that.
I do think that making sure that these particular diasporas, these particular vulnerable groups, understand their own role here and the sort of digital citizenship involved...but I think for sure you can expect that the transnational dimension here will become another battlefield for Russia. It has been for the last 10 years.