Thanks so much.
Good afternoon, Madam Chair and members of the committee.
Clean Energy Canada is a national think tank at Simon Fraser University focused on advancing the country's energy transition.
The global auto sector is undergoing a rapid transformation. Driven by China's EV dominance, EVs are expected to make up 30% of new car sales worldwide this year and 40% by 2030. At the same time, the U.S., under President Trump, has destabilized the historically integrated North American auto market. In this new reality, Clean Energy Canada has consistently called for a nuanced approach to Chinese EVs that balances consumer affordability with industrial competitiveness. In our view, the recent Canada-China EV deal strikes that balance.
As gas prices rise above two dollars per litre in many parts of Canada, Canadians are rediscovering their interest in EVs as a way to save money on fuel. A typical Canadian driver can save between $23,000 and $32,000 over 10 years of ownership by choosing an EV over a comparable gas vehicle, according to new analysis released by my organization last week.
However, in 2025, Canada was one of the only markets in the world to see EV sales decline. A number of policy choices—imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs in late 2024, but also pausing rebates and the EV availability standard—caused Canada to fall out of step with the global trend towards EVs, but 2026 is set to be a comeback year for Canada. The return of the $5,000 federal EV rebate, combined with higher war-driven gas prices, has improved the cost calculus for EVs by a further $12,000 almost overnight.
In short, Canadians are keen on EVs, but they're looking for models within their budgets. The Canada-China deal is one part of the broader package of policies that can help Canadians access affordable EVs. By allowing in a limited quota of EVs at a lower tariff rate focused on more affordable models, Canada is directly creating an affordable EV segment that we've been missing.
It will also have indirect benefits as a result of increased competition. In the EU, for instance, where lower tariffs are applied to Chinese EVs, consumers now have access to over 20 EV models under the price point of $40,000 Canadian. Half of those are offered by domestic EU carmaker brands and only seven are offered by Chinese automakers. The EU is now the fastest-growing EV market in the world, with nearly 30% of new car sales last year being electric.
What's more, Canadians are enthusiastic about this change. According to our 2026 poll, among the 50% of Canadians who are open to buying an EV, 70% presented some level of interest in getting a Chinese one.
The Canada-China agreement also presents opportunities to ensure Canada's auto sector can remain competitive in this changing world. A strategy of relying on outdated partnerships with the U.S., where Trump is undertaking an assault on his own auto sector—pulling the rug out from under their EV plans, raising manufacturing costs with tariffs and now driving up gas prices, all while pushing consumers worldwide towards the EVs that he does not want to be making—will not set Canada up for success.
Canada needs to hedge, and this means placing bets on new partners who are positioning themselves strategically in the present, versus looking at what we did in the past. A two-pronged approach of selective exposure to Chinese EVs, plus preferential market access for domestic producers, is a better path.
Together, these measures could help Canada enhance its industrial competitiveness by incentivizing Chinese, Korean and German firms to build here, employing Canadian workers, using upstream Canadian inputs like critical minerals and engaging in technology and skills transfer to help Canadian companies catch up to their lead. We also have massive economic opportunities in producing the critical minerals, battery materials and other components that go into EVs, all of which go hand in hand with higher EV uptake.
This is not about being pro-China. It's clear that this will be a delicate and sometimes difficult relationship to manage, with risks and opportunities that must be carefully weighed, as we heard from the earlier witnesses today. This is about being pro-Canada, realizing that setting Canada up to compete in the auto market of the future no longer means betting it all on America. Survival will necessarily mean building something new.
Thank you for the opportunity to contribute today. I look forward to your questions.