Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. It's a pleasure to be here, there's no question about that.
I want to assure you that what I'm going to talk about relates to me; I'm not associated with any consultant, any transit agency, any contractor, or any vehicle supplier. So the ideas and issues I will be discussing are issues that I have learned about and been helped to think about based on the experience I've had in various countries.
I think what we have to really look at is basically a saying and a little bit of philosophy, that the past is history, the present doesn't exist because it's gone in a nanosecond, and the future depends on educated projections and awareness of possible innovations.
When I say that, what I'm suggesting to you is that this strategy has to be a living document. In other words, things change and will change. Just take, for example, cell phones and the impact they've had as they've morphed into smart phones. Look at what these smart phones, which have been in use for only three years or so, have done with regard to revolutions in different countries and changes and peaceful demonstrations in different cities in the U.S., Canada, and elsewhere. So things are changing, and we have to look at that and the related innovations that crop up. Therefore, the document, to my mind, must be a living document.
Now, there's another philosophical situation, not an idea but a reality, which is that people in this country basically live in a flat environment and are used to a two-dimensional society, a two-dimensional situation. We forget that there is a third dimension, and this third dimension is something that one should always consider with regard to living and with regard to transit. Vancouver is a classic case in point. It has gone to an elevated transit system. I'll get into that a little bit later.
Another issue that we in Toronto have noticed—and I don't really want to complain, but will—has to do with the fact that, in 1994, there was a change in provincial government. Prior to that there was a very good “Let's Move” program between TTC and different consultants. When the new government came in, it cancelled the project. There was actually some work done on this extension. Similarly, when the mayor of Toronto took office a year ago, he cancelled what is known as the “Transit City” project that the previous mayor had brought in. Millions of dollars had been spent on consulting fees and on orders for the procurement of vehicles, which had to be cancelled. These are things that really discourage the people who are involved in the industry.
I'd like to talk now about the various subjects related to public transit. I noticed, too, that in the committee's mandate public transit does not really exist. We talk about highways and railways and these kinds of thing, but the people use mass transit. So I think it's something that we should really look at. Mass transit is for people, not for cars, which are meant for roads, basically.
I'm not going to address air travel too much. It's something that we can discuss ad infinitum.
As for train travel, commuter service in the city of Toronto is becoming very popular. The system is growing, and extensions are taking place, but commuter services at this point in time are working only to bring people into the central business district in the morning and to leave it at night. This means there are a lot of people who would like to travel in the daytime—and Metrolinx, which is GO Transit's operator, is considering that.
The other issue is a favourite one, I think, of all of us and that is the issue with regard to trains. The bullet train was instigated in Japan in the 1960s. In the early 1980s, the TGV ran its first train in France, which is the high-speed rail. The difference is that the bullet train goes up to and around 200 kilometres per hour whereas high-speed rail goes up to 300 kilometres per hour, and sometimes in excess of that. Since that first inaugural trip in France, 14 countries have installed high-speed rail; 18,000 kilometres have been installed, with another 10,000 under construction.
In Canada, high-speed rail has been studied for at least 20 years. There have been several meetings on this, and I attended one in the early 1990s. Alignments were identified and a decision has still to be given. So this is an issue that we have to think about.
Now we get into mass transit. Mass transit carries people; highways carry cars. There's obviously a difference. If you consider a mass-transit train, which can carry approximately 20,000 people per hour per direction, the train can go at an average speed of 30 kilometres per hour. The road necessary to compete with this, at the same speed and with same carrying capacity, would require approximately eight lanes in each direction. That's a lot of space.
I have also gone through and made a table—which you don't have, but you will get it in the future—that basically outlines the top nine cities in Canada with populations in excess of 600,000 people. Toronto has, according to the lastest statistics, over five million people, and that includes Mississauga and Brampton. It is the fifth largest city in North America and something that Canada should be proud of, but its size creates major problems.
Cities with more than 600,000 people account for approximately 47% of the total population of Canada, based on the population projection of July 1. The population of the smaller cities will increase this percentage to well over 50%. The percentage of the population in Canadian cities with mass transit, compared to the total Canadian population, is approximately 42%.
Consider that the people with mass transit right now are mainly in Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton—and, supposedly, Ottawa-Gatineau. Ottawa-Gatineau is the fourth largest city in the country. Basically what I'm saying is that as far as the statistics are concerned, Canada is becoming an urban country.
I have two minutes more? Oops, I'm going too slowly.
When you get the translation of this paper that I've written, you will see that I talk about design considerations. The main design consideration for mass transit is the passenger, not the materials.
The train systems should be procured using the latest technology. There's no point in purchasing outdated equipment. Automatic fare collection should be instituted throughout.
An issue that you probably want to talk about is joint development. The MTR of Hong Kong is a good example of how joint development can work. But it works by partnering with developers, and the amount of joint development profit is the same as that collected in the fare box. If you want some more information with regard to joint development, there's a Federal Transit Administration paper called “Transit-Oriented Development and Joint Development in the United States: A Literature Review”, which goes through the different scenarios they use in the United States
The other issue with regard to joint development relates to partnering, as Hong Kong does, with developers. Developers who build close to mass transit stations benefit greatly from the transit stations. A tax should be levied against these developers, similar to what has been done on the Jubilee line in London.
Bus transit can complement the mass transit systems as a feeder system, and it does. Bus transit is a good means of transit for smaller communities. The main disadvantage that busses have in a large metropolitan area is that they occupy roads and are subject to an erratic schedule, depending on road traffic conditions.
I have some quick conclusions. Government funding is necessary to build and operate mass transit systems. There is no getting around it.
Canada has a good reputation for manufacturing and implementing technically advanced transit systems. Vancouver is a classic case in point. This system was installed in Vancouver and commissioned in 1986 and has been extended. Toronto has the RT system, which was commissioned a year before. But for some strange reason, drivers were put on these trains. They only operate a train for two hours a day. That is a waste of manpower.
Furthermore, it's essential that funding be made available to cover capital costs for the building of the infrastructure and the procurement of the systems. Ongoing funding will be required to supplement the operating and maintenance costs. Life-cycle costs must be carefully calculated in all of these functions. A partnership arrangement with developers can minimize the actual input costs. There are also other means of deferring costs, such as BLT contracts, which mainly involve dealing with the suppliers. That is one way of deferring costs, though.