Madam Speaker, I am very pleased to rise in this House today to share some information for the benefit of the people of Quebec and the rest of Canada.
I would like to take a brief look back to find where the problems we are currently experiencing stem from. Where do our financial, social and economic development problems come from?
First of all, let me say that these problems can be traced back to the early 1970s and the Liberal federal government we had then. Let me explain.
In 1970, the Liberal government, here, in Ottawa, was running budget surpluses of approximately $247 million. Between 1970 and 1984, the average annual deficit was $17 billion. Starting in 1970, 1972, 1973, the federal government decided to centralize more powers here, in Ottawa, and to develop national standards for health and education in particular, business subsidy programs and
loosely regulated procurement policies. The federal government was determined to become the grand centralizing master of Canada. That is where the problem stems from.
I am for free health care, for free education as much as possible, and for research and development subsidization. But at the same time, we must be honest and warn the public that all this will cost, that it has a price tag, that they will have to pay for all this.
That, however, is not the course the federal government took at the time, choosing to make the whole range of services available without increasing taxes. What duplicity. That is when they started running progressively higher deficits-$2 billion, $5 billion, $10 billion, $15 billion-up until 1984, when the deficit quoted in the last budget tabled by the then finance minister, Marc Lalonde, had reached $40 billion, while revenues were approximately $60 billion at the time. You can imagine just how huge a deficit that was.
All this because the federal government wanted to show the people of Canada, and Quebec in particular, that it was the almighty boss on whom depended the achievement of the quality of life we had to have and deserved as a have country.
All these commitments have cost us a fortune. In fact, between 1970 and 1980, so much money was injected by the government in the economy that it caused it to overheat, creating artificial economic conditions, which made the inflation rate climb by up to 12 per cent per year. The best solution the government could find to curb this inflation was to let interest rates rise as high as 21 per cent. This caused a terrible and savage recession. That is what the federal government, and the Liberal government in particular, did between 1970 and 1984.
Between 1984 and 1993, the Conservatives were in power. I was a member of that government from 1984 to 1990. Between the years 1970 and 1984, the Liberal government made many long term commitments, including long term bonds and mortgages. Consequently, when the Conservatives took office in 1984, it was very difficult for them to reduce the deficit, in spite of their extraordinary efforts.
There was also a lack of political courage. The Conservatives continued to spend too much. During those years, there was an average shortfall of $4 billion per year in government programs and services. In other words, each year people paid $4 billion more than they received in services and programs. That was already an enormous amount.
Yet, the debt increased by an average of $30 billion per year. This means that between 1984 and 1994, the deficit reached $30 billion per year. The federal government was still spending too much. It kept this overheating of the economy.
Once again, the solution found by the government-the only one that it could find-was to ask the Governor of the Bank of Canada to increase interest rates in 1990. Of course, that was an easy solution which required little courage on the part of the government.
Increasing interest rates results in lower growth, which in turn means lower inflation. However, it also triggers a recession. We had a terrible recession in 1981 and people had not forgotten about it in 1990. That recession not only reduced inflation but actually triggered a deflation. That has been going on since then, which means almost six years now. This is nonsense, really a lack of courage for a government to act in this way.
The Minister of Finance has not been very inventive in his 1996-97 budget, nor very courageous. All that he has done is to decide to add $5 billion a year to his revenues from the unemployment insurance contributions made by employees and employers. Five billion of the employees' and employers' money. This is scandalous.
At the same time he has decided to transfer $3.5 billion less to the provinces. Calculating the receipts from the unemployment insurance fund, $5 billion, and the $3,5 billion less to the provinces, that gives $8.5 billion more to the government. This is the equivalent of what the Minister of Finance proposes in his budget, which is to reduce borrowing requirement from $26 billion to $16.8 billion.
The amount is almost the same. Make the unemployed pay more, transfer less to the provinces, that makes up the difference. Not a very imaginative solution. Scandalous in fact.
If the Minister of Finance had decided to transfer $3.5 billion less to the provinces, and at the same time had decreased the taxes collected from those same provinces, there would perhaps have been some grounds for saying that at least there was some spirit of decentralization, that the minister wanted to give more responsibility to the provinces, But no, that is not what he is doing. He will keep on taxing the people in the provinces in the same way, while at the same time cutting back on expenditures by $3.5 billion.
In conclusion, the cause of our current difficulties is the present federal regime.