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National Defence committee Thank you for the opportunity to be here. Climate change, newly accessible resources, new maritime routes, unresolved boundary disputes, announcements of new investments in military capabilities to defend sovereign rights—no wonder the Arctic has emerged as a topic of tremendou
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Great. Thank you for the question.
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Absolutely. Russian increases in expenditures are largely aspirational. It's wonderful for Mr. Putin to have these bold plans. Whether or not he can pay for them and finance them I think is still very much in doubt. New air bases are taking out of mothballs old Cold War air bas
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee I think what Professor Huebert is leaving out, though, is the reason why the moratorium is declared is there is no evidence either way to support the idea of fish stocks in the high Arctic basin. Everything else is scripted according to international law. If there are pressure po
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Certainly. Rangers are a long-established organization. They've been around since 1947. They have worked out a really incredible balance between national security dimensions to their role and also community interests and looking out for their communities. Certainly their ongoing
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Thank you for the question. I'm glad you highlight something that I think is much more short- and medium-term than a lot of the discussions we have. Looking at threats and hazards, military threat assessments, whole-of-government threat assessments, Public Safety across to Envi
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Yes. I'm concerned because every year projects like that are delayed, costs increase. Again, I don't think we're increasingly vulnerable because we don't have those hulls in the water by a certain fixed date. Again, that would belie my overall threat assessment to say we don't fa
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Yes, please. I think some of the answers are airframes to intercept potential Russian bombers that are going to test boundaries. They're not transgressing Canadian airspace. That would be an act of war, but coming up to it, we need to be able to meet them absolutely as a demonstr
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee I agree with Rob wholeheartedly on this and I think the briefs you received from Dr. Charron and Dr. Fergusson earlier were right on the mark. NORAD is the way to build in that maritime watch component. It is a very resilient, long-standing partnership that works very well. This
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Of course, Rob paints an interesting picture of Russians sort of bristling with these new investments, these new subs. When were the keels laid for those subs? It was in the late 1990s for some of them. It's taken a long time for them to realize a very modest fragment of a recapi
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee I think it's looking at the purpose of Russia's combat forces. If they're using them or envisaging them as expeditionary forces, I have no idea where they're going to go. We have enough difficulty historically in sustaining our own forces in our own Arctic, so the thought that th
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee Northern watch.
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee From what I've been tracking, it's interesting. Canada has played an intriguing role in Russian threat perceptions relating to the Arctic. We've been mobilized by Putin since 2007 as the country or Arctic state that's arming, rebuilding, and preparing—to do whatever the Russian i
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee I disagree with that because again we do have mandates, and departments and agencies have their lanes that they are expected to stick to. The only way that this thing works is, if we're looking at this from the standpoint of North American defence, that the military have the abil
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer
National Defence committee My honest answer is that I'm not sure. I'm not an expert on what's going on internally within Russia. Rob may be able to speak to this.
December 9th, 2014Committee meeting
Prof. Whitney Lackenbauer