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Finance committee  Thanks for having me back. Polls show that a majority of Canadians don't understand or have never heard of a carbon tax. This demonstrates the gulf between them and the largely academic-bureaucratic elite who advocate this tax. For nearly three years, pro-carbon tax governments

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  I'd agree with that. It's imposing a tax on domestic production, and not imports. You end up just substituting imported carbon emissions for formerly domestically produced ones. It is possible to devise a tax that would account for that, but none of the carbon taxes we're talkin

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  I think it's just part of a wide range of policies that are making Canada less competitive. I think we're already seeing it show up in the investment numbers, for example. There is a semi-annual survey that was released this morning on business investment in the U.S. It's calling

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  I would like to start. The issue is knowing how we want to bring about that change. Do we want it to be imposed by the government? Do we want to change the relevant prices, which would certainly encourage young people to modify their behaviours? Do we want a technological change

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  I have no answer to that. For example, Mr. Elgie said that there is a very strong consensus among economists that taxes on consumption are preferable to taxes on income. Economists have never been able to convince the general public of the merits of that approach. I could be elec

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  No, I think that's.... I mean, we saw it in the previous presenters, and now in this one. The vast majority of the commentators in this area believe fervently that a carbon tax is the most efficient way of achieving this goal. They may very well be right. The problem is, though,

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  The average person, though.... I'm glad you raised that, because it was a point I wanted to make in response to Stewart's opening statement. Yes, large corporations like this are those that are best suited to deal with complex regulations. Large corporations tend to like a lot of

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  Just to follow up on the original question, yes, it is quite interesting that it is especially large corporations, not just in Canada but in the U.S. and in Europe, that are in favour of a carbon tax. What is their motivation? Are they advocating for the type of $200- or $300-a-

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  No. I heard a lot of these numbers thrown out by Mr. Kenney at the end of his previous testimony.

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  I've heard a professor, and the name escapes me at the moment. There's one in particular at the University of B.C. who has very openly said that we're going to need at least a $200 a tonne target to meet our reductions.

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  No, sorry, we haven't done any modelling on that. You might be asking the wrong person. I did work 36 years at Statistics Canada. As you mentioned, we have lots and lots of models. I'm not sure I believe any of them. It was the models that got us into.... For example, my skeptici

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  There's one final thing I'll add about models. We don't have a model of innovation. There was a suggestion here from Stewart that economists understand innovation, and if we play with the price system, add some incentives, and put some inputs in, this output will come out in tech

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross

Finance committee  My last comment on models is that I'm not against modelling. Modelling is a great way to organize your thoughts about something and to highlight what the important assumptions are. The problem, as somebody put it, is don't believe your models.

May 7th, 2018Committee meeting

Philip Cross