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Foreign Affairs committee  First, I'm not sure if you're referring to Jim Dobbins and what he said. There is one program in Afghanistan that deals with the rural areas that is rather successful, which is the national solidarity program, which provides block grants to villages for projects that are identifi

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  It is. Canada is also supporting it. I believe the last I heard it had reached one half of all the villages in the country. What people often comment about it is not first on the economic benefits, but that for the first time they feel like they're really citizens of a country

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  The only thing I'll say about the question of whether it's winnable is if we define our goals in a reasonable way, then it's still possible to succeed. It is not possible to turn Afghanistan into a modern, prosperous, stable, peaceful democracy that has a higher level of represen

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  I was actually referring to the fact that the tribes in the Pakistani tribal agencies send messages to President Karzai. I know that at one time there was an issue involving the border and the Mohmand tribal agency. The Mohmand tribe in Pakistan sent a message to President Karz

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  I might mention that there's a high level of mobile telephone use in Afghanistan. It's amazing, some of the places they function, including some remote tribal areas. The problem in the Pakistani tribal agencies, which are not subject to state administration, is different from t

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  I believe there are differences of opinion on that. There are strong economic interests in favour of maintaining the current system, because there is a method of licensing commodities in the region. There are also people who are profiting from the war economy. But there are other

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  Well, of course people don't surrender when they think they're winning. There haven't been a lot of outstanding successes recently. There are some high-profile individuals who were formerly in the Taliban who are now more or less with the government, or at least are in Afghanista

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  The jirga proposal you referred to was one that I believe originally came from President Karzai. He envisaged having meetings of Pashtun tribes on both sides of the Durand Line--he wouldn't say the border--to try to maintain security in the area. Of course, neither the non-Pashtu

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  Yes, I do. I actually wrote a report with a colleague from Waziristan on the whole border issue, including this. I would note that in the recent supplemental request from the administration there is a request for $750 million over five years to assist Pakistan with the developme

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  It was not said, however, that troops must remain in Iraq, but that is a result that we can no longer avoid. With respect to the wars in Afghanistan in the last few decades, I would say that they were not caused by the alleged "war-like" nature of the Afghans. They were the resu

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  First, al-Qaida would definitely establish a broader base in Afghanistan very quickly. In addition, I do not know whether the Taliban could take over power in Kabul, because even if the west were to abandon Afghanistan, Iran and Russia would not abandon it. So there would be pote

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  Unfortunately, of course, the way the war would end, under any scenario that I can imagine, would be a tremendous morale booster for the other side. However, I tend to think that the benefits of ending U.S. involvement in Iraq would outweigh the harm it might do to Afghanistan

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  The sentiment in the U.S. Congress, certainly, and actually in the administration, is to put more effort into Afghanistan even while we are in Iraq. I don't know if they would add more, but it would certainly make it much easier to do so. I might add that it's a mistake just to c

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  Thank you. Let me start with Russia. Russia has supported the effort, but Russia is politically aligned with the Northern Alliance. Therefore, they have a different nuance in the way they support it. They have actually protested against the sidelining of some figures from the No

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin

Foreign Affairs committee  Yes, that's right. And precisely because of that, Russia is now an obstacle to pursuing some of the political initiatives toward incorporating and negotiating with the Taliban, because there is a list of Taliban figures who are subjected to sanctions under resolution 1267 of the

March 29th, 2007Committee meeting

Dr. Barnett Rubin