Yes, that would be my view.
I think we have to accept the inevitability of independence of some sort. The south pretty much already has independence anyway, so not all that much will change on the ground, I don't think, except for people's perceptions. A lot of this is very emotional.
Even when we were asking southerners about their desire to return, 86% of southerners who we interviewed in the north--and that's 22,500 people, families--said of course, they'd love to return, but only 15% of them said they had the means to do so. There's always this emotional reaction, and then the reality is sometimes different. The reaction now in the buildup is very emotional. There are a lot of mixed messages, a lot of confused signals.
When we actually get there, I think we'll find that as long as the north is able to continue to access the oil fields and the south feels it's getting the benefit of those oil fields, and there are citizenship arrangements or some kind of pre-citizenship nationality thing, probably they'll work it out. But they haven't really worked out how they're going to live together afterwards, and I think you're right, that's where the future will be.