It's a very good question.
For implantation of a liberal democracy that we have in the west, I think the chances right now are very slim. Could you have local governance through local elections? We have seen those in a number of areas. Interestingly, even President Assad, in outlining his reform plan, has also talked about the need for local and more administrative elections, but that wouldn't deal with the national leadership. That is a very far way off, and could come out of the country's not only de facto partition, but also its de jure partition long into the future. I'm not saying that's going to happen, but it could. The analogy most used is the federally administered tribal areas in Pakistan where you have a very loose control of the central government. That's a phenomenon we see not only in Syria but throughout the Middle East as regimes, however brutal, prove also inelastic to deal with the demographic problems and other social and other problems within their countries.
That's my humblest prediction at this point.