Yes, our report called “A Not-so-Grand Bargain” looked at three different scenarios of what oil sands emissions could look like in Canada.
When we looked at an additional new million-barrel-a-day pipeline, along with the emissions associated with it and the production that would need to be brought online to fill it, it would result in a scenario where, even if the Pathways Alliance project were built in full, emissions from oil sands would still likely be higher in 2035 than they are now. That's not really aligned with decarbonized barrels or beginning to see emissions come down from this very high-emitting sector.
We proposed in that report that the Pathways Alliance project on its own represents a significant capital investment, if it can be fully realized, but that a good, strong industrial carbon pricing system, in addition to the public support already on the table via the federal carbon capture investment tax credit and provincial grants, is sufficient to incentivize investment in that project.
