It's an excellent question.
I think the distinction is that companies like to talk about what is possible with the guardrails that they have built, but it's different from what they do in practice. How can we know for sure?
I am a co-creator of the moderation API. It's useful tooling, but if you don't use the tool in the right way, or if you leave it on the shelf, then where is the impact? These are issues that we in fact know how to solve and have tooling for.
On the warnings about superintelligence, the AI companies themselves concede that nobody currently knows how to control this. They don't have the tooling. They can't just choose to use it.