To give you some idea of how this would work, given the way exports behaved in the third quarter—and when we did the MPR we had only two months of data—at that point we were in the process of revising up our view for the outlook for GDP because of the stronger starting point, and at the time, the oil price began to decline. Those two effects were roughly offsetting, and for that reason, our outlook was almost the same as what we had in our previous monetary policy report. It gives you some idea of how a couple of months of data on exports can be sufficient to offset the kind of shock that we're discussing. It is within the margin of error and we don't overplay it, but there's no question that for the last few years there has been extra income boosting the Canadian economy throughout the country, because of a higher price of oil.
