It's certainly not our intent to surprise or to frighten people.
Just as a slight adjustment to your premise, nobody knows what the first quarter looks like yet. Our forecast is that it's zero. That seems to be reasonably in line with what others are saying. Since the numbers provided by private sector economists to the finance minister for the budget forecasted an average of 2% for this year and our number is 1.9%, it seems like we're quite well in line now with what the private sector is saying.
The number I think you're referring to is the fourth quarter, where we had 2.5% forecast and it turned out to be 2.4%, which was actually at that time much stronger than what the private sector was expecting.