Those are the estimates that we got from various environmental or industry forecasters. Of course, in any forecast for the future, the only thing I always guaranteed my boss.... I used to be the CFO for the department. He'd ask me for my financial forecast. I'd give it to him, and I'd say that I could guarantee him it's probably not going to be quite right.
Because there are already some plants that are under construction that will increase production and will come online in the near future, I think the production is actually going to increase.
The challenge for the industry, as much as anything, though, is to get their costs down and improve their environmental performance. There's a lot of interest in the industry now, for example, in steam-assisted gravity drainage, where they heat steam, inject it into the ground, melt the bitumen, suck it out, and that improves the steam-to-oil ratio. If you can do that, there's a double-barrelled benefit: you generate fewer greenhouse gases in the production of the steam, and you reduce your costs so that you can compete more effectively in a global market.