There are a couple of points to your question.
First of all, would I qualify this as restrained spending growth? The answer is, unsurprisingly, no. When the government has $81 billion in fiscal room and spends $52 billion of that, even after taking into account new tax measures, it's not called keeping one's powder dry. That's one way of saying it. I've said that before, so it's nothing new.
We have not looked at what all the other pressures would mean on the fiscal bottom line for the government because there are many ways a government could decide to address these pressures. For example, there's a commitment for NATO countries to spend at least 2% of their GDP on national defence. We published an analysis several months ago indicating what this would mean in terms of dollars, but it doesn't mean the government has to do it or that the government will move there quickly. It could choose to move at a different pace.
There's also pressure on the part of premiers to get additional funding for health care. Again, it's a pressure. The government has many ways to address this. It could choose to ignore these pressures. It could choose to provide all the funding that premiers want or anywhere in between.
All that is to say we have not done an analysis of what these would mean.