You bet. First of all, I'd like to say I'm not just fixated on sea lice. There are all the pathogens from salmon farms. We really do have to consider the bacteria and viruses.
Water temperature and salinity are two of the big factors in a sea louse's life. He can't survive--he dies in fresh water and survives better and better as the water becomes more salty. So in the saltier years, you get a higher rate. In the colder years, growth slows down, but they're still out there.
It's like a cornfield. If you have bad conditions and you have no corn in that dirt, you will not get corn plants. But if you put your corn seeds in and you have a great year, you're going to have a beautiful corn crop. If you have a frozen year or flash floods, your corn crop is going to be poor. It's the same with the sea lice. Those other variables affect it, but they're not supposed to be there. They're not supposed to be in the inshore waters. People have argued that they are buried in the mud as adults when the Pacific fish go in, but nobody can find them in the mud.
So we do what we do. Obviously, when those journals review us, they are looking for every other reason, and they pick us apart, and those variables are important.
I think you jumped a little bit to the Fraser sockeye and temperature. I've had the privilege of attending two meetings organized by Simon Fraser University. DFO couldn't be there because of the inquiry, but other than that, everyone whose life is figuring out how many sockeye are going to come back, including the Pacific Salmon Commission scientists and the Simon Fraser University scientists, has been there. They say that in-river temperature has not been a variable, particularly in 2009. Ocean temperature was good in 2009. Plankton was good in some areas in 2009. They had all these things that could be designated green, yellow, or red, and for 2009, they were green, green, green. They actually saw the fish leave the river, and they were bigger than normal, and more abundant than normal because this certain lake is not glaciating as much, and it's more productive. That's another issue. In any case, lots of them went out.
They said to me that something has happened in the last decade and a bit that has made the modelling process of how many sockeye are going to come back not work. There's some new variable they say they can't explain. So when I went in front of them, the first thing they said to me was, “Oh, Alex, you've got to get off your sea lice agenda”, and I was like, “Yes, I understand that, but just hear me out for 10 minutes”. I talked about the biological laws of these fish and the diseases that are happening. Imagine, in 2003, 12 million Atlantic salmon were infected with IHN virus, and it was jumping farm to farm to farm. This paper showed that. When they brought their smolt boats through, just sucking water up, they got infected, and they brought it to my home in the Broughton and put it in Simoom Sound, and seven more farms got infected. It would be unrealistic to imagine that our wild fish were swimming through that and not getting infected as well. IHN is deadly to salmon and to herring.