The forecast is generally presented to the fishing community from the Pacific Salmon Commission in February. The forecast is derived from a bunch of different scientific analyses. A lot of it is based on the returns to spawners from the brood. There are other considerations, such as projected marine survival and freshwater survival. There's a small enumeration that is done on a couple of runs, but it all goes into this big mixing pot and out of it comes the forecast.
The forecast was derived primarily because it was considered to be.... As you know, the last few years have not been very kind to Fraser sockeye. Things were not coming back very well.
Well, 2025 was a big surprise, and we began to see the beginnings of the survival, the increase in marine survival, with the earliest component, which was the early Stuart run that came back approximately seven times greater than the forecast.
Then the other runs started to follow suit, not quite to that same extent, but everything, every component of the Fraser run—the early Stuarts, the early summers, the summers and the lates—came back significantly greater than the forecast, so by the time the middle of August came along, we had a big run.