It is one of the surprises that happen in Pacific salmon management. We have had really good surprises and bad surprises. The great unknown is what happens in marine survival.
Basically the salmon spend two years in fresh water and then go out into the ocean. It was really benign. While there were signs, there was no definitive sign that said we were going to see this increased marine survival.
In 2010, we ended up with a run of 30 million sockeye, which was almost two and a half times bigger than expected. This was also a product of marine survival. Marine survival can also cut the life right out of the fishery there too.
What happened was that we had been experiencing bad marine survival for a while. That might have had some downward influence on the forecast, but not that much. Nobody was really expecting quite the surplus, the bounty, that came back last year. It was a good surprise.
