That is an interesting and important question, but I cannot answer it, because that is a project I have just begun working on. It deals with experiences of democracy building under foreign control. There have been a number of such instances throughout history. I want to compare past cases of democracy building, in such underdeveloped countries as Afghanistan, and see whether they were successful or not.
At present, Afghanistan is somewhat of a failure. It is a relative failure, but at the moment, Bosnia is also a failure, and Kosovo is not doing very well either. Even so, there is the conditionality of the European Union, which is investing considerable amounts of money in Bosnia and Kosovo to improve economic and social development. And then there is the Stability Pact for South-East Europe. Some 40 countries and international organizations are members of the pact and are engaged in economic and social development is Bosnia to create the conditions for political democracy. The pact was created in 1995, 11 years ago, and the latest report by the European Union on Bosnia indicates that the country is still not functional. NATO and European Union forces have to remain stationed there, or else ethnic conflicts will reignite between the Serbs, Croats and Bosnians.
We can draw comparisons between Bosnia and Afghanistan. There is proportionally more assistance and intervention in Bosnia than in Afghanistan. I realize that what I am saying is not encouraging, but unfortunately, I am not very optimistic about Afghanistan. Quite frankly, I think that the war against the Taliban will be a failure, unless NATO decides to send 100,000 or 200,000 soldiers, but NATO will never do that. It will therefore be a failure. I am 100% certain of that.