Thank you very much for the questions. All of them are very important.
It's possible to speak about Ukraine and Belarus for hours. Those countries are really very different. In Ukraine, there are oligarchs. Oligarchs from eastern Ukraine have completely different interests from Russia. The situation in Ukraine, as I said, is very much different from Belarus.
In Belarus, Lukashenko has no choice. If he were integrated with Russia, if he were going for close integration with Russia, he would be dismissed by Russians, because both Putin and Medvedev hate him. He's an unpredictable and unreliable partner, and he would be dismissed by them.
If he begins to integrate with the European Union, it means he will release political prisoners, he will organize at least slightly democratic elections and so on, but he will be dismissed by his own population. Either way, he will be dismissed.
The situation in Ukraine is much different.
If we speak about sanctions, I believe the only way to deal with people such as Lukashenko is to play on the strategy of good cop and bad cop. Unfortunately, the European Union would never be a bad cop. I told you about Lithuania, which is controlled by Belarus through the seaport. If they lost this seaport and the profit from this enterprise, they would lose something like 3% of their GDP. So definitely they're controlled by us, and the European Union would not play the role of bad cop.
That's why I'm absolutely sure that the United States of America and those countries that can afford it—and Canada is one of those countries that can afford to play such a role—should play that role. Some other countries should play the role of good cop, so they can communicate with Lukashenko's people, because I still believe that Lukashenko is ready to defend his power until the very end. He's ready to kill his own people.
My idea is that we should have channels of communication with his people, with people from the police, the army, with different kinds of nomenklatura people—people from the establishment—and the European Union can do it. Some countries of the European Union can do it.
So my answer to your question about sanctions is yes. Sanctions should be there. Otherwise, Lukashenko will be absolutely sure that he can do anything, and the international community will still cooperate with him and will still speak to him. So it should be the bad and good cop strategy toward Belarus. I'm absolutely sure that sanctions are working, because Lukashenko is speaking about them. All the Belarusian press is speaking about them.
At the same time, more than 95% of the Belarus population are sure that the economic crisis there is not because of sanctions. They're sure that Belarus' economic crisis is because of bad economic decisions of the president. So I think, yes, the system is working.
We should not expect that sanctions will change the situation in half a year or in one year. We should be prepared for a long-term strategy.
From the other side, I'm absolutely sure that in two to three years—maybe five years maximum, but I think three years—we will have changes in Belarus. Our president will be dismissed, first of all, because of the economy, because of our people, and also because of Russia.