Those are great questions. I think it's very interesting to watch Belarus, because I think Lukashenko has been playing what he at least sees as a fairly calibrated game, in which he keeps the Russians on the side. Belarus and Russia will be doing the West 2017 exercise shortly. There's no reason to think that's being called off. On the other hand, I think what the Ukraine crisis has given him is an opportunity to woo the west and to try to suggest that, really, they're not the same as the Russians. It's a calibrated game, and I think he does think he still maintains control.
I saw something interesting in the news this morning, which was accusations that there are efforts to send a “little green men” scenario into Belarus, apparently instigated by Ukrainians and Poles and so forth, which, I have to say, strikes me as highly unlikely, but I think it is part of this game Lukashenko is playing. I think it's incumbent on the west not to be too trusting of the Lukashenko government. It is not going to be a useful way to poke at the Russians for the sake of poking at the Russians, because Lukashenko is not going to back away from Moscow. His fundamental mode of rule is not one that trends towards liberal democracy, assuming all of our governments continue to be interested in promoting that.
I think we do want political prisoners to be free and we do want protests to be allowed, but we also want to be very careful of our hopes. I think in Belarus they understand what goes on in Ukraine perhaps better than we tend to in the west, and they're watching us for opportunities rather than because they are looking at this as pressure to democratize.