I think Ms. Tikhanovskaya is right to think that any resolution of this conflict cannot be achieved without Russia's agreement and participation.
That said, if it's true that Russia has security concerns at its borders and has long-standing ties with Belarus, the question is why did Russia choose to support Mr. Lukashenko rather than Ms. Tikhanovskaya, who is very willing to work with Russia? Why did Russia go so far as to issue an arrest warrant for Ms. Tikhanovskaya?
How can Russia's attitude, which is difficult to understand, to say the least, be explained when the country could very well have followed in the footsteps of the entire international community and demanded that Mr. Lukashenko leave office and that Ms. Tikhanovskaya be allowed to take power?