Thank you very much.
A very special thank you for.... The Nobel Peace Prize was quite a surprise. I was in the middle of Niger when this happened, and I had literally al Qaeda above us and ISIS below us, and we were working on access issues. As you can imagine, it was a very tense environment. I was meeting with the leaders when I got this phone call. My team comes running in, busting through the door saying “Nobel Peace Prize”, and I said, “Yeah, okay, who won it?”, and then they said we did. It was such a surprise.
I talked at length to the Nobel Peace Prize committee the other day. They said thank you, of course, but they were sending two messages to the world. The first was to thank WFP for what we've been doing, bringing peace and stability, and the women and men who put their lives on the line every single day.
The second message I think was to the world, and it's that the hardest work is yet to come, because 2021 is going to be a very difficult year, as Mark and Ambassador Rae have already alluded to. Ambassador Rae, thank you. I've had such a great pleasure in getting to know you virtually. Of course, Mark and I talk almost every day, as we're seeing an unravelling around the world in countries that were making great progress but are now going backwards.
I had been telling leaders around the world that late 2019 to 2020 would be the worst humanitarian crisis year since World War II, and I would lay out the reason and the rationale—and then the desert locusts came on top of that, and then on top of that came COVID.
Tony Blair, whom you all know, gave me a call back in March, after I had just spoken to the subcommittee. It came and went with a flare it seems. Tony asked me, “David, you're travelling all over the world. What are you seeing?” I said, “Tony, what I'm concerned about is that everyone is making decisions about COVID in a vacuum, and we cannot address the health pandemic in a vacuum. If we do, we'll have a hunger pandemic and the cure will be worse than the disease. We must work on both at the same time, because as COVID impacts, economic deterioration takes place.”
As I began laying out to Tony what would happen over the next six, 12, 18 months in five or six countries, Tony was like, “Oh my God, you have to tell this to the United Nations Security Council”, and I did. Mark and I were both giving leaked reports that if we did not respond, we would have unprecedented famines all around the world and destabilization and migration.
Fortunately, the world leaders responded and acted.
Now, 2020 financial numbers were based more on the 2019 economic outlook, which was very positive, and then countries stepped up with these economic stimulus packages, worth $11 trillion to $17 trillion. Mark talked about debt relief, because a lot of these poor countries, low-income countries particularly, have eight trillion dollars' worth of debt. Fortunately, with financial institutions bilateral decisions were made to alleviate that debt until January 2021 and a little bit later. Unfortunately, that date is now coming upon us. Those monies were used for safety net programs and health programs inside these poor countries. Countries stepped up with us, and we were able to avert famine for 2020.
The good news is that, when you look at the fact that 200 years ago 95% of the people on earth were in extreme poverty, a few years ago fewer than 10% of people were in extreme poverty. Between Canada, the United States and countries all over the world, we have built systems to share more wealth than we've ever done, yet try telling that to the 10% who aren't experiencing the system.
How do we improve the system? Unfortunately, in the last few years we've been going backwards because of man-made conflicts. I really believe that we can end hunger but, man, these conflicts are just devastating to us. Now with COVID, the number of people on the brink of starvation—and I'm not talking about people going to bed hungry—will spike from 135 million to 270 million.
If we don't act now with a major response, we will have famine, destabilization and mass migration around the world. That will be a thousand times more expensive than otherwise. Mark alluded to that in Syria. It costs us a lot more to help a Syrian in Syria than if that Syrian ended up in Berlin or Brussels.
I know I'm running out of time, but one of the things that I would ask this committee to do is to prioritize investing in food security, because if we invest in food security, with the limited funds that we will have for this coming year, I do believe we can avert famine, destabilization and mass migration.
We're in a unique situation, but working together, I believe we can truly address this amazing situation on planet earth, and I believe all of us together can get it done.
Thank you for allowing us to speak to you.