Great, and thank you, Mr. Chair.
Thank you for having me back to the committee to discuss Africa-Canada relations and progress on Canada's Africa strategy. Much has happened since my last visit to the committee in April 2024.
Important policy milestones, of course, have been generated over the last 18 months, which have generated both enthusiasm and healthy debates. This is a good time, as we're doing right now, to re-evaluate and rejuvenate Canadian strategic intention towards the continent.
I've written previously of the urgent need for Canada's Africa strategy to leverage and operationalize four Ds: demographics, demand, democracy and diasporas. Many of these issues have, of course, already been mentioned by previous speakers today.
After a year of major shifts in domestic priorities in response to American and global challenges, three additional Ds need to be added urgently: delivery, defence and drones—in the same category—and diversification.
The initial four Ds are broadly understood but not fully internalized. Demographics focuses on that gradual shift from China and India to Africa as the future global workforce and growth node. However, there can be no future sustained global growth nor poverty reduction without demand being met across Africa for jobs, infrastructure and social services, and particularly a concurrent massive provision of affordable, reliable and accessible energy for both household and industry. This includes African fossil fuels.
Additional demands include local ownership up and down the value chain, including in mining and critical minerals, and a more equal playing field, as others have mentioned, in global equity and debt markets.
Another demand, successfully exhibited by voters in South Africa, Ghana, Senegal and Botswana in 2024 but curtailed violently in Cameroon and Tanzania more recently, is for democracy. Despite propaganda to the contrary, Africans are generally more convinced than citizens in other regions that democracy is preferable to non-democratic government, according to many Afrobarometer surveys. As others back away, Canada must get serious about supporting democratic institutions and human rights, or at least not enabling electoral facades that allow autocrats to linger on. Hypocrisy around democracy undercuts our long-term security and commercial interests.
Lastly, Canada has a huge advantage in terms of its diverse African diasporas, which have been mentioned, as they maintain cultural, business, language and other linkages to the continent. However, empowering diasporas within the context of the Africa strategy remains a work-in-progress. Hopefully, this will end up as something more than a web portal, occasional consultations, or a Global Affairs Canada presence at diaspora-organized events.
What I want to turn to quickly are the newer 3Ds, which the last year has presented as things that we need to focus on to push the Africa strategy ahead in productive ways.
First is the issue of delivery. This builds a bit on what Dr. Brown has just been saying, but “delivery” refers to the challenge we seem to have in meeting the basic promises that have already been announced since November 2024 and March 2025, and to ensure that any future commitments relevant to enhancing mutually aligned priorities are operationalized, resourced, implemented and evaluated. Here I have concerns—though I hope to be corrected if my information is not up to date.
From my own experience visiting Zambia in late August, but also checking online yesterday, I could not find any substantive movement on the promise to convert our modest office in Lusaka into a full-fledged resident high commission—and apparently the same goes for Benin. If budget cuts end up in embassy cuts, we will have actually gone in the opposite direction to what we were promising over a year ago.
I also haven't seen any evidence of the promising ideas around the Africa trade hub concept, intended to shift the mandate of our trade commissioner service to a more integrated approach that facilitates two-way trade and investment rather than the traditional focus on simply promoting Canadian exports.
Also, the appointments of the two special envoys just seem to have added titles to overworked ambassadors and their tiny staffs without any corresponding additional financial or human resources.
From the perspective of those of us in the small and under-resourced academic, association and think-tank community focused on Africa, the promise to expand our analytical capability and understanding of economic developments in Africa and their implications for Canada was critically important, but there is no evidence to date of that kind of knowledge mobilization.
I'm also not convinced of the benefits of prioritizing additional FIPAs, which would overexpand dual taxation and other practical or technical agreements across more countries, including, as others have mentioned, bilateral or even a continental free trade agreement.
We know that 2025 was a difficult year, and we know Canada needs to solve this issue of delivering on its promises—our modest promises—that apparently didn't require additional financial commitments. We still haven't gotten there, almost a year after they were initially announced.
One of my key recommendations, as it has been in the past, is that the committee nudge the government to consider reinstating a secretary of state for Africa. It's a position that coincided with that last golden age of African attention in Ottawa, in the late 1990s and early 2000s.
I'd like to talk a bit about defence, but I'm going to skip over some of my notes because I don't want to run out of time. I'm going to say, without acknowledging African security challenges as potential priorities, which we tend to do in Canada, that Canada will inevitably sleepwalk into a future deployment without sufficient preparation, or, as the recent Red Sea shipping crisis illustrates, we might not even have the capabilities to fully support multilateral operations in certain domains on or near the African continent in support of global and/or African regional security measures.
Lastly, on defence, another issue is autonomous warfare. We have been watching the use and the evolution of drones during the war in Ukraine, but drone evolution is also occurring across African conflicts. This includes many non-state armed groups, including those affiliated with al Qaeda or the Islamic state that may have direct connections to global networks that could deploy those capabilities against key infrastructure or civilians and in ways not yet contemplated.
Besides the internationalization of local conflicts on the continent, the disinformation wars and the expansion of Russia's military economic footprint across the continent, Africa's escalating level of conflict over the past decade increases a range of regional and global threats that make generating the prosperity that Africa and the world need much more difficult.