Thank you very much, Chair and members of the committee.
As a representative of a local business community, my name is Art Sinclair and I'm vice-president of the Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber of Commerce. We'd like to thank you for including our municipality on your tour. I notice from your agenda that you're not staying here very long so you won't be able to sample our excellent hospitality and accommodations here in the greater Kitchener-Waterloo area. I would welcome you back at any point in the future because we have some excellent eating establishments and accommodations and some great businesses in this community.
I've reviewed the report submitted to the government in the past couple of weeks on Canada Post. I believe it's called “Canada Post in the digital age”. I want to make some general comments about some of the highlights and some of the issues that are of most interest to us as a business community. Then I believe you'll probably be asking questions more on the specific areas that you've outlined as being crucial to your discussion.
As I think I mentioned to a few people here in the past few minutes, all chambers of commerce and boards of trade across Canada were in Regina two weeks ago for our annual general meeting. One of our sessions was with Ms. Bertrand, who was the chair of the task force reviewing Canada Post. As you may be aware, she is also the president and CEO of the Quebec Federation of Chambers of Commerce. Ms. Bertrand made a brief presentation at the Canadian Chamber of Commerce annual general meeting, and she made one particularly memorable point that I think is very interesting. She said that Canada Post in the 21st century needs to operate with a 21st century business model. I think that point is inferred on a number of occasions throughout the report. I think overall that is the key consideration here: Canada Post operating in the 21st century needs a 21st century business model. Ms. Bertrand made this clear as well.
I'll go over some of the points that are of interest to us obviously as a business community. The report points out there are a number of businesses across Canada that are moving to the digital age. The key consideration here with digital technology is that in terms of direct marketing mail, which a number of businesses used to use, they are now using Internet and other forms of technology to more directly target their customers. Of course, a key challenge for Canada Post moving forward is that competition with digital technology.
Ms. Bertrand also noted to the media recently that after the review of Canada Post, their committee's observation was that the transition for Canada Post moving from mail to parcels has been a mess. She said that if most Canadians knew how fast that was.... They don't know. I think a lot of people would be surprised at how fast Canada Post is in transition. That's a key consideration moving forward.
One other issue goes back to the whole issue of a 21st century business model for a 21st century organization. In discussing evolving technologies, I think the term used in here was “disruptive technologies”. Some of us in the business community find that term disruptive technology to be ironic, particularly here where we have a number of IT firm start-ups that develop new technologies, spend hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars developing new technologies; and they come on the market and they're called disruptive. That can be discouraging. In this whole issue of the technologies that cut into Canada Post's business, the point was made on a number of occasions in the report that what Canada Post is doing is delivering less mail to more addresses.
From a business perspective, we study this quite frequently. It goes back to the whole notion of productivity. This isn't just a challenge for Canada Post, this is a challenge for all businesses across Canada. How do we operate more efficiently? I think the task force has done a good job of identifying that as being a major challenge moving forward. Since Canada Post is delivering less mail to more addresses, how does Canada Post deal with that in the future?
To follow up on that, of particular interest to us were pages 43 and 57.
On page 43, Ernst & Young conclude that, “...Canada Post is facing an uncertain financial future. The current model is no longer sustainable over the medium and long terms with projected annual losses of over $700 million by 2026.” It also noted that costs are increasing as its delivery network expands to cover 170,000 new addresses every year... Direct marketing has started to decline as businesses are using digital channels to reach their clients. Parcel volumes are increasing but revenues will not cover the corporation's rising costs in other areas.
Furthermore, on page 57 of the report, it is noted that:
The current business model of the Corporation does not generate sufficient income and cash to finance the realignment needed to continue its journey from a letter-centric to a parcel-centric business, let alone remain a self-sustaining business post realignment.
I think that is key from a high-level perspective without going into details. It's a challenge providing a model that is self-sustaining at the same time as serving all the stakeholder groups.
My final point is with the negotiations over the past few months between CUPW and Canada Post.
I think we've all seen a lot of media reports about what the impact was going to be of a possible work stoppage on not only the Canadian business community but just Canadians in general. I think there was a lot of attention paid to the matter of what percentage, proportion, or what sector of the national business sector would be most impacted by a Canada Post labour disruption.