I have to say that I'm a little confused about the order here.
I wanted talk about the risks associated with AstraZeneca and now Johnson & Johnson. I think a lot of Canadians are anxious about these vaccines and whether they're safe, so I want to address that problem.
Specifically, the concern is with blood clotting, but specifically one kind of blood clotting, called VIPID. That is vaccine-induced prothrombotic immune thrombocytopenia, which is associated with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis. It appears mostly in women under 55. The risk of this in the United Kingdom, where they've given a lot of doses of AstraZeneca, has been estimated at between 1 in 100,000 and 100 in 250,000.
I'm a long-time doctor, and medicine is all about balancing risks and benefits. With that in mind, I want to talk a little about risks and benefits and get a response from the doctors on the panel, for example, Dr. Tam and the person from NACI.
My understanding of the British data is that, up until the end of March, they gave over 20 million doses of AstraZeneca, and there were 79 cases of VIPID with 19 deaths. This is probably causal, because this is a very rare combination, but, as a result of giving those vaccines, it's estimated that the British saved around 6,000 lives. There's always a risk in medicine with almost anything.
If you think about an appendectomy, this is a relatively simple operation, and I've done them myself. If it's your kid, you say, “Okay, you have to have your appendix out”. Well, the mortality is 1 in 100, approximately, from my readings. If they take your gall bladder out, the risk is about 1 in 200. We do CAT scans all the time. As a doctor, you have to explain to people the risks and benefits. If your kid is getting a CAT scan, you tell them, “Well, we're not sure of the risk, but it might be something in the order of 1 in 2,000 who will get cancer from a CAT scan”.
With drugs and antibiotics, I've seen people almost die from reactions to antibiotics. As for vaccines themselves, the measles vaccine has a risk of 1 in 700,000 of getting something called SSPE, subacute sclerosing panencephalitis, which is universally fatal. We give the measles vaccine to our kids all the time. My little baby, whom you may have seen occasionally with me on the panel, is going to be getting it in a couple of months. There is always a risk and benefit. No one is forcing people to have AstraZeneca or Johnson & Johnson. I have to say, the risk with Johnson & Johnson seems to be 1 in a million.
Before the practitioner, nurse or doctor gives you the vaccine, AstraZeneca, they're going to explain the risks and benefits. I would submit there's a very, very small risk from the vaccine. In fact, I calculated that you're seven times as likely to die in a car accident the year after you've been vaccinated with AstraZeneca as you are to die from a blood clot, so the risk is very low. The benefits in terms of protecting yourself from the virus are significant.
I want to ask Dr. Tam or the representative from NACI about the risks and benefits. Obviously, I've outlined my view of it.
Thank you.