Thank you very much, Mr. Chair and members of the committee, for the opportunity to be here again this afternoon.
My name is Ryan Montpellier. I'm the executive director of the Mining Industry Human Resources Council. MIHR is a public-private partnership between HRSDC and the Canadian mining sector, funded in part by the sector council program.
I'm sure you are all aware of Minister Finley's remarks from last year and the changes to the funding of the sector council program. There's no question that there will be an impact on all sector councils, and you heard from a few of them earlier this afternoon.
The Mining Industry Human Resources Council is currently exploring all options to continue to identify and address the HR needs of the sector. We're looking at a number of different models to sustain the operations of the organization, and I believe our very strong partnership with the mining association and a number of mining stakeholders will allow us to continue to be around after March 2013.
Now, that's not the purpose of why I am here today. I am here today to talk about some of the labour market challenges in the minerals and metals sector and also to highlight some strategies that are currently under way to address them.
On that note, the mining sector today is really facing a perfect storm, but it's a good-news story as well, because we need workers. According to the Mining Association of Canada—and you'll hear from Paul Hébert momentarily—the industry has almost $140 billion currently in new projects that are in the permitting or environmental assessment phases.
This rapid expansion of the sector will put significant pressure on an already strained labour market. In fact no other sector has added more jobs in the last 12 months, percentage-wise, than the mining sector. Employment has grown at roughly 8% in the past 12 months.
The mining sector is not immune to the aging workforce in this country. About 40% of the current mining industry workforce is over 50 years old. Today we are, if not the oldest sector in Canada, one of the oldest industrial sectors in Canada. We estimate that about a third of the industry will be eligible to retire by 2016.
The loss of these people in itself is not necessarily the issue; it's the loss of the skills and competencies and knowledge that these people are taking with them. We've been throwing around numbers for needing 100,000 workers or 115,000 workers, but the real challenge is replacing these individuals who have been in the industry for 20 or 30 years and have decades of experience in extracting our resources.
Further compounding the challenges are the negative perceptions and stereotypes often held by youth today, and also the nature and the location of mining activities, which are for the most part in rural and remote communities. That is a barrier to attracting and recruiting workers.
Another challenge is attracting and recruiting women. Women today account for 14% of the minerals and metals sector. When you drill down into production-specific occupations, such as miners, equipment operators, and some of the skilled trades, that number falls to under 1%. So there are still significant challenges and opportunities for attracting more women to the sector.
Also, the sector has not done that great of a job at attracting immigrants. About 8.7% of our industry are immigrants, compared to about 20% for the entire workforce. We certainly have a lot of work to do in attracting and recruiting the next generation of mine workers.
All of this translates into a need to recruit what we're estimating to be over 112,000 new workers by 2021, and that's based on a very moderate growth scenario. If we see the same level of growth we've seen in the past 12 months over the next 10 years, that number quickly balloons to over 200,000.
The question, then, is how do we address this challenge? I think the important comment I would make is that the skills shortage.... I've been working in this organization for about eight or nine years, and the skills challenge has always been something the HR departments would deal with. It was an HR issue.
I think very recently it has become truly a business risk, and a risk that is impacting companies on the bottom line. In fact Ernst and Young every year publishes the global risks that are impacting the global mining sector, and the labour shortage is now ranked as the number one risk for mining companies for both the developed world and the developing world.
How do we address this? The question, I guess, is what are we doing as an industry to try to rectify the skills shortage?
I think the first challenge is to make better use of all potential sources of labour supply. You only have to look at your television screens during hockey games to see the ads saying “Come and work with us” from the Rio Tintos and ArcelorMittals and BHPs. There's a significant amount of effort invested today in attracting, recruiting, and retaining a number of under-represented groups—youth, women, aboriginal people, new Canadians—and even retaining older workers.
I think mining companies for the most part prefer to attract locally. When the local talent pool is exhausted, they then look within the province, neighbouring provinces, and the country as a whole. But when talent is simply not available, looking outside of Canada's borders seems to be increasingly what companies are turning towards. To that end, some of the recent proposed changes to the immigration system favouring more direct access or links to qualified individuals entering the country are certainly welcome.
I think the industry also needs to take a very good look at what they can do to increase productivity. This country in the mining sector has lacked in productivity gains compared to other countries in the world. Any investment to drive innovation or lead productivity would certainly be welcome. At the end of the day, we will need to do more with less. People will continue to be a scarce resource or input into the mining sector.
For our part, at the Mining Industry Human Resources Council, we continue to address these issues through strong collaboration with the mining sector. In a recent consultation, industry viewed three areas as being of most value to our sector. One is the labour market intelligence that we've been able to provide.
There's also the worker certification that we've building for the past six years now. This worker certification is for undesignated occupations. You just heard from the Canadian Apprenticeship Forum. That system is working excellently, in our eyes, for a number of skilled trades, but for the undesignated occupations—miners, equipment operators, diamond drillers, mineral process operators—there is absolutely no system or pan-Canadian system in place. Even at the provincial level, there are very few systems in place to recognize the skill sets of miners.
Certainly the investments we've had from HRSDC in the past...and certainly our efforts going forward will be to continue to build a national, pan-Canadian worker certification program for a number of undesignated occupations.