Thank you, Chair and members of this committee, for the invitation to appear.
My name is Sean Baird. I'm the president and CEO of Toronto Community Housing Corporation.
TCHC is Canada's largest public housing provider and one of the country's most significant public builders of deeply affordable housing. TCHC is home to more than 100,000 people living in 60,000 homes throughout Toronto.
Our portfolio is a $20-billion public asset that was built over decades with federal and municipal investment, and it represents a major portion of Canada's deeply affordable housing supply.
Since 2019, TCHC has accessed nearly $100 million in federal funding through CMHC's affordable housing fund, and we have built more than 10,000 homes in recent history.
We are not only a housing provider; we're a fully integrated solution to the housing crisis, with the ability to repair, manage and build affordable housing at scales unmatched in Canada. That capacity matters, because the issue before us is not only how much housing Canada can build but also whether we can maintain and preserve what we already have.
I want to acknowledge the framing of this study. Housing starts in relation to federal programs is the right question, but if we focus only on housing starts, we risk missing the most urgent housing crisis in the country today: the loss of deeply affordable housing that already exists.
At Toronto Community Housing Corporation, without renewed investment, our capital repair backlog is projected to reach $4.7 billion by 2034. The share of our units that are in critical condition would rise from 4% to 54% over the next decade, leading to 30,000 homes in disrepair. Even a historic surge in new housing construction starts would struggle to replace that loss.
We have solved this problem once before. In 2019, the federal government committed $1.34 billion in funding under the national housing strategy, and together we reset the life cycle of thousands of homes to newbuild levels. This history is true for most other affordable housing providers across Canada as well.
Prevention is far more cost-effective than rebuilding, and every unit we lose is one we will struggle to replace in the future. At today's cost, replacing a deeply affordable unit requires significant upfront public capital and generates no capacity to service debt.
This brings me to my second point: Deeply affordable housing cannot be financed exclusively through loans.
This is not primarily about interest rates; it's about economics. A household that is paying rent geared to income at 30% of a modest income simply does not generate the returns required to repay a housing loan. Even highly favourable financing cannot bridge that gap.
Federal loan-based programs are effective for market housing and moderate-income housing, but they do not produce housing for the lowest-income Canadians at a rent-geared-to-income level. Only capital grants and direct contributions can do that, and we welcome the focus of Build Canada Homes on deeply affordable housing supply.
We see this in practice all the time. Even on publicly owned land and with municipal support and preferential financing, deeply affordable housing projects still require substantial upfront government investment. Without it, they simply cannot proceed.
This matters at a system level. Canada's social housing stock represents approximately 3% to 4% of total housing in the country. In other OECD countries, the average is closer to 7%, so we're just over half of that average. We're not close to that, and we're not currently on track to close that gap.
My recommendations are relatively straightforward.
First, renew and expand federal capital funding for the repair and preservation of existing public housing, with a clear commitment well beyond 2027.
Second, establish a dedicated deeply affordable housing stream within federal programs, structured explicitly as capital grants, not just loans.
Third, measure success not only by housing starts but also by units preserved, by depth of affordability and by the number of Canadians paying no more than 30% of their income for housing. Show the full measure of the positive impact we can have on Canadians.
When deeply affordable housing is lost, pressures increase across health care, shelters and social services. Labour mobility declines and employers struggle to find workers. Public costs rise, often far beyond what would have been the cost to provide the housing in the first place.
Housing starts matter, but so does maintaining the housing that we have. Together we can preserve those homes, protect those households and avoid much larger social and economic costs in the future.
Thank you. I look forward to your questions.