Hi, Rick.
You encapsulated a couple of things quite appropriately. Number one, the market certainly is almost the entire culprit in all these problems that we're experiencing in the forest industry--the recent high dollar, the turndown in the housing. Although waiting is very difficult when you're trying to make a dollar in the forest industry, we're in a waiting game for the market to come back in the U.S. while we build our markets in other countries. You both touched on this. I think that's important.
It's hard to be optimistic in times like these, but of any of the industries that I've seen come to Ottawa to state their case, I think the forest industry has been probably the most positive about the future.
Rick, you talked about the Russian tax coming into play, the reduced timber that is being cut in other countries, as in Canada, because of things like the pine beetle, the clamping down on illegal forests. And of course, lastly, there's a market conversion where in South America, for example, there's going to be probably more growing of food than trees because of the demand. That's all good for the forest industry. It doesn't help us right now except to make us feel a little good about the future, but it's really difficult in these times. Then, of course, there are all the other plans that the government have put in--FP Innovations and the wood-is-good program. These are all good things.
One common thread that you've all mentioned today is the access to credit. I know our government is aware of this problem, and I'm also aware that the government is trying to do whatever it can to encourage the banks strongly--one of you used the word “pressure” because these are private-public companies--to recognize that the forest industry is not a dead industry. It's very much alive, and there's going to come a day when the banks' best customers will be the forest industry once again. That's down the road. So we're trying to get that message to them now.
At the same time, in some areas of the forest industries where the government can help because of trade agreements that we have, it makes it a little more difficult. We have all these factors that we're looking at. And this is probably about the fifth session on the forest industry, going back two or three years, that I have sat in on, and we all have a clear understanding of what the difficulties are.
So now we have a new difficulty, and you both brought it up--the black liquor issue. There are two things. Number one, because they're burning fossil fuels in order to burn the black liquor, they're in fact cheating on the environmental requirements. The other one, which is even more important to us, I think, is that because many of these pulp mills are in fact owned by companies that have sawmills as well, there is some opinion that there's a direct subsidy in some way to their sawmills, unless you're able to absolutely track the dollars going into their company overall. Now, I'm not saying that's happening, but I would imagine there are some lawyers on both sides of the border who are having a good look at that.
I want to get back to one question, and that's the access to credit. Is there anything more that any of you believe the government can do? We know about loan guarantees, and it's easy to say let's just do this. But are there any other steps the government could take to improve access to credit for the forest industry?