Thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Let me begin by thanking you for your invitation to speak to the Committee. I understand that the Committee is interested in examining the impact on Canadian automotive production of the Vehicle Efficiency Initiative, or VEI, introduced in Budget 2007.
The Vehicle Efficiency Initiative, which came into effect on March 20, 2007, has two distinct components: a performance-based program known as the ecoAUTO rebate, administered by Transport Canada, and an excise tax, known as the Green Levy, administered by the Canada Revenue Agency.
The first element, the ecoAUTO rebate program, offers an incentive of up to $2,000 to consumers who purchase a new fuel-efficient vehicle. Initially, new passenger cars with a combined fuel consumption rating of 6.5 litres per 100 kilometres or less and minivans, sport utility vehicles, and other light trucks with fuel consumption of 8.3 litres per 100 kilometres or less will be eligible for a rebate. Current models qualifying for the rebate include hybrid vehicles, conventional fuel-efficient vehicles, and the most efficient of the E85 flex-fuel vehicles.
The second element of the vehicle efficiency initiative is the green levy on fuel-inefficient vehicles. This levy will be payable by the manufacturer or importer when vehicles are delivered into the Canadian market. The levy will start at $1,000 for passenger vehicles with a fuel efficiency rating of 13 litres per 100 kilometres and increase in $1,000 increments for each full litre per 100-kilometre increase in fuel-efficiency ratings, to a maximum of $4,000. Trucks and commercial vehicles are exempt from this levy.
The automotive vehicle and parts manufacturing industry is Canada's largest manufacturing sector. In 2006, this sector represented 12 per cent of manufacturing GDP and employed 158,300 workers. The five major auto assemblers operated 12 different assembly plants, produced 28 different vehicle models, in many variations,—with different engines, transmissions, body styles and other options—and, together, assembled 2.5 million light vehicles.
Canada is the world's third-largest exporter of automotive products, following Japan and the U.S. About 83% of Canadian-built vehicles were exported in 2006, primarily to the U.S. The Canada–U.S. auto trade totals $130.5 billion, with a Canadian surplus of $17.5 billion in 2006.
Canada continues to maintain a 16% share of North American light-vehicle production. Analysts forecast that Canada's share of vehicles produced in North America will increase to more than 18% over the next few years as new product mandates are introduced.
The two measures of the vehicle efficiency initiative taken together apply to approximately 8% of the new vehicle sales in Canada. Of this 8% of sales, only a very small proportion are vehicles produced in Canada.
For the 2007 model year, there are more than 800 variants of vehicle models available for sale in Canada. While Canadian production data is available at the basic model level for each of these vehicles, Industry Canada does not compile the detailed breakout of this information on the basis of engine size, transmission type, E85 or hybrid capability, which would be necessary to conduct a detailed analysis.
In the absence of detailed information, it is, however, possible to estimate some of the data, and make a number of observations based on the structure and output of the Canadian industry.
As a starting point, it is important to recall that the vehicle efficiency initiative applies only to vehicles sold in Canada. For vehicles produced in Canada, the program applies only to those vehicle models that are both produced and sold in Canada. Canada exports approximately 83% of all vehicles produced here. This of course varies by model and ranges from a low of about 60% for some models to close to 99% for others. Of the 2.5 million vehicles produced by assembly plants in Canada in 2006, 2.1 million were exported and 17%, or 416,000 vehicles, were actually sold in Canada. These represent about 26% of the 1.6 million vehicles purchased by Canadians in 2006. Of these vehicles built and sold in Canada, there are three models eligible for rebates under the “eco” program. They're the Toyota Corolla 5-speed, built in Cambridge, and the GM E85 Impala and E85 Monte Carlo, both built in Oshawa.
In 2006, Toyota produced 16,000 Corolla 5-speeds and sold about 4,400 of these in Canada. GM produced approximately 210,000 Chevrolet Impalas and 15,000 E85 Monte Carlos and sold about 13,900 and 700, respectively, of these in Canada. Taken together, 19,000 vehicles or 0.76% of Canadian production would be eligible for the eco incentive.
Canadian-made vehicles subject to the green levy are mainly three Chrysler models of SRT8s, which are limited-production, high-performance models. About 1,000 of these were sold in Canada, representing 0.04% of total Canadian vehicle production. So, in total, there are about 20,000 units, or about 0.8% of total Canadian annual light-vehicle production, affected by the vehicle incentive program. So 19,000 are eligible for the rebates while 1,000 would be subject to the levy.
We will, of course, be watching Canadian sales data to see if changing consumer purchasing patterns are having an effect on production in Canada. At this point, with only one month of sales data since the program was announced in March, it is too early to draw any conclusions.
However, any analysis would need to separate out the various effects that would have come into play in determining the profile of sales for this or any other month. Several factors, including the rebate and the levy, would influence purchasing decisions, but also among them would be the extent to which producers and dealers are seen to pass along the benefits of the cost of the program to consumers, the incentives and financing options offered by competitors, and the impact of gas prices, which have risen over the past quarter. It will take some months before enough data are available to allow an assessment of the ecoAUTO rebate program on productions and sales in Canada.
Thank you.