Yes, I was a financial expert in the asset-backed commercial paper bankruptcy, which was the largest bankruptcy in Canada. It involved $220 billion of credit default swaps.
I have updated my analysis and have determined that there are $4.5 trillion of credit default swaps on the global junk bond market. There are only $2.5 trillion of junk bonds. The conclusion I reached is that credit default swaps are a form of insurance for the bond owners of the world. You can purchase credit default swaps, which have the impact that, should a company enter bankruptcy, you can get a cash settlement for all of the damage on the bond that the bankruptcy creates.
There is a serious problem in the bankruptcy laws of Canada and throughout the world, because there is no requirement to disclose your position in credit default swaps. You may be fully hedged or in fact short and yet drive a bankruptcy process.
The problem is this. In the 1750s you could buy insurance on ships you didn't own. Needless to say, many ships sank in the oceans. The reason for having this insurance is that you could collect on the insurance of the sinking ships and were able to make substantial profit. Exactly the same is happening today in the credit default swap markets affecting junk bonds.
We believe that if there isn't change in bankruptcy law, the credit default swap has the impact of substantially increasing the frequency of bankruptcies. It also has the impact of creating liquidation of companies without any effort to continue as an ongoing concern, which is what we saw in the Nortel case.
If we don't adopt Bill C-501, we have a situation in which more than twice the value of the junk bonds of the world is covered by credit default swaps, the impact of which is that you get to receive a cash settlement, you get to keep the bonds, you get to take the billions of dollars out of the obligations to top up the pension fund, the consequence of which is that you make a higher profit as a result of the bankruptcy and that you prefer a liquidation.
If we do Bill C-501, we believe it will be the stick that ensures you do not want to liquidate, because if you do liquidate you have to owe up all the billions that are owed. You would rather restructure.
So I have the opposite opinion from the council of CEOs.
Thank you.