Thank you for the question. I'd be happy to.
When we look at these aggregate numbers across Canada and we speak in percentages about delinquent accounts, it's very easy to feel a separation from what these numbers actually represent. I want to acknowledge that struggling to make payments and having to decide between buying food or paying rent is not a situation anyone wants to find themselves in. These numbers represent actual people across Canada who, I believe, are generally trying to do their best with what they have.
I'll start by focusing on the numbers that Equifax released last month, reflecting the second quarter of this year. In other words, we're looking at the time period of April, May and June of 2024.
I will also highlight that data science is an exact science with many nuances. For example, we'll look at two measures reflecting credit card use in Canada and how much of the balances people have actually been paying off on their credit cards.
We'll start by taking a look at what we call the balance delinquency rate. This figure is derived by adding all the credit card balance amounts that were owed during the period. In this case, the period is April, May and June of this year. Then we look at how many of those dollars were overdue during that period. Overdue is defined as being 90 days late or worse than that. By that measure, 3.4% of the owed balances were delinquent during the second quarter of 2024.
Looking at another measure called the trade volume delinquency rate, this is where we count the total number of active credit card accounts during the period. Again, it's still the second quarter of this year. How many of those credit card accounts were overdue? Again, that's 90 days past due or worse during the time period. According to the Equifax data, the total number of credit card accounts is somewhere in the neighbourhood of 52 million in Canada, and about 1.6% of them were delinquent during the second quarter of this year.
This is a great example of how critical the nuances are. Is Equifax saying that the rate of overdue credit card payments in Q2 is 3.4% or 1.6%? The short answer is yes.