One thing that's underappreciated is how much worse the conflict could become. As I mentioned, there are already historic levels of internal displacement and really significant levels of external displacement. There are many foreseeable ways that this conflict could become significantly worse. The rise of significant violent extremist organizations could play into that.
The conflict is already becoming much more complex than it was before. We have many armed actors and interests at play, and whenever you have so many interests at play, the conflict and the way it unfolds become a lot harder to predict and a lot harder to resolve. There could be a significant escalation, and that would dramatically increase the pressures that are already there, not just on the countries in the region but also on Europe and other regions.