Thank you. It's great to be with you again. I always like to be there in person, of course, but with the virtual world and how many crises we have going on, I think we're all over the place, spread thinly, quite frankly. Let me get to the point.
Before Ukraine hit, we were already facing a perfect storm of conflict, climate and the economic impacts from COVID. We had seen the number of people marching towards starvation spike from 80 million to 135 million people right before COVID, and then it jumped from 135 million to 276 million people because of the economic ripple effect of COVID. Within that, you now have literally 45 million people in 38 countries knocking on famine's door as we speak.
Now this was before Ukraine, and we think it's bad enough. We were already facing fuel and food price spikes. As you can imagine, th shipping costs were spiking as well. On top of all that, when we were just starting to cut rations for people all over the world because of a lack of the funds that we needed because of this increase in prices, Ukraine compounded the situation.
The problem with Ukraine is not limited to the impact within Ukraine. It has a global impact, which we will get into. In fact, we will now see that number of 276 million go up to over 300 million in the next two months if this conflict, this war, is not brought to an end, and it will mean an additional 50 million if it does not get brought to an end within the next few months. It's going to compound catastrophe on top of catastrophe.
If you're watching the news, just like everybody is, you'll know that there are four or five million people who have already left Ukraine. You might say that they are the lucky ones. They're out of harm's way. They're being met at the borders with loving arms from strangers. People are taking them in, giving them food, and giving them shelter. However, you have 40 million people inside Ukraine who are literally in harm's way in multiple ways, not just in terms of conflict but also in terms of food security.
We're looking at an unprecedented European crisis, particularly post World War II. We've reached about a million Ukrainians inside Ukraine. We plan to scale-up this month to about 2.3 million to 2.5 million people, and next month to about four million people. We have about a $600 million operation for the first few months. We have about $160 million in hand, and we do feel pretty good about the next few hundred million. However, if we scale-up to six million people by and through June, we'll be completely out of money by the end of June.
For every person who is in harm's way and is fleeing, if we can't reach them inside a country, that means they'll be coming to the outside of the country, and we know what happens when we cannot reach people on the inside of a country. The price tag for humanitarian support is multiple times greater outside.
Now, not to get too much into the weeds inside Ukraine, but please understand—and I think the world is starting to receive this message—30% of all grain, such as wheat, is grown in Russia and Ukraine; 20% of all corn, maize, is grown inside Russia and Ukraine; 40% of all base products for fertilizers are from Belarus and Russia; and 30 million metric tonnes are now stuck in the Black Sea because of the conflict, because of the war.
Ukraine grows enough food to feed 400 million people. For 50% of our operations, we buy wheat from Ukraine. Egypt buys 85% from Ukraine. Lebanon, just two years ago, bought 80% from inside Ukraine. We're already seeing an economic ripple effect. At first, we thought that it would be primarily a pricing problem, but now, because farmers are on the front lines fighting, they are not planting. They need to be planting corn right now, maize. They need to be harvesting wheat in July and August. If they're on the front lines, obviously, they're not going to be harvesting. They're not going to be planting, and we don't have the tenders to the fields to make sure that the fertilizers are applied and so on.
We could have a supply problem, an availability problem, later this year. This is why I've been meeting with the G7 agricultural leadership to talk about what we can do to offset the potential decline of harvests around the world.
When you compound that with the droughts we're seeing in different locations around the world and particularly in China, which is having droughts as well as other issues, they're buying up as much grain as they possibly can. We're facing catastrophe on top of catastrophe, a perfect storm on top of a perfect storm.
We're already cutting rations in countries all around the world. For example, in Yemen we're feeding about 13 million inside that country, and we cut about eight million down to 50% rations, and there is a very good possibility that we'll have to cut that even further in the next two weeks ahead. That's just one example of the many countries where we are cutting.
As I have told European leaders, you must be careful. While you focus on what's coming at you from your east, you cannot completely neglect what could be coming from the south, because the Middle East and northern Africa are very fragile right now. If we neglect these two regions, you could really have a catastrophe upon catastrophe in the months ahead.
I have a lot more I could talk about, we'll say, but let me just stop right there and say thank you to Canada. You've been an extraordinary partner. Many countries are stepping up at a time like this, and Canada has really been a tremendous role model for the rest of the world to follow, so thank you very much.
I'll turn it over for questions.