Mr. Chair and honourable members of the committee, thank you very much for inviting me to appear before you today.
I teach at the University of Winnipeg and lead the Conflict and Resilience Research Institute Canada.
Since 2017, we have researched and engaged in policy work on the Rohingya forced displacement in Myanmar and Bangladesh. We are currently implementing a Global Affairs Canada-funded project on charting a path to lasting peace in Myanmar, under Indo-Pacific strategy programming.
Our scholarship and practice focus on South and Southeast Asia, including both internally and externally displaced persons, as well as cross-border refugees. Across contexts, our work aligns with a consistent finding, which is that forced displacement is driven primarily by political unrest with escalation into armed conflict, often compounded by military rule, repression and systemic exclusion.
Policy responses to mitigate displacement tend to follow five pathways: bilateral arrangements, multilateral coordination, sanctions and other levers, United Nations and regional mediation, and justice and accountability. Each can matter, but each takes time. However, the danger is protracted displacement, in which the status quo hardens, families languish in camps and return becomes less feasible with each passing year.
Third country resettlement remains vital for protection, especially for the most vulnerable, but it cannot resolve mass displacement. It cannot substitute for addressing political drivers that cause the displacement in the first place.
Our current work, therefore, emphasizes that durable solutions require addressing at least one root cause rather than merely managing the symptom. In the Myanmar conflict, which we believe is replicable in other cases, we advanced a five-pronged approach.
First, we identify credible alternatives to indefinite war by mapping the incentives that keep parties fighting and the conditions that could move them toward a peace deal.
Second, we outline a reconstruction pathway. Conflict destroys institutions and infrastructure. Without an actionable recovery plan, peace becomes a slogan rather than a viable choice.
Third, we strengthen regional engagement, particularly through the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN. Canada is an ASEAN dialogue partner, and the ASEAN-Canada strategic partnership can and will create opportunities to support regional conflict diplomacy and implement peace intervention.
Fourth, we build coalitions of like-minded civil society groups to advocate for conflict resolution in the region and co-create channels of influence.
Fifth, we urge investment in capacity building, with help from diaspora communities, among displaced people languishing in the camps—where they are now—and link it with the reconstruction pathway, so that when return is possible, it is sustainable.
There is then the concept of humanitarian diplomacy, which I'm a big advocate of. It connects protection to development and peacebuilding, reduces long-term dependency and can create space for dialogue for peace.
Finally, what can we do as a country?
First, Canada can further engage its consulates and diplomatic presence in sustained, practical capacity building. I'm not saying this is not happening. However, my observation is that these things are occurring piecemeal and not within a broader Canadian approach to dealing with forced displacements and sustainable capacity building for the displaced.
Second, we suggest that token resettlement is not a realistic long-term primary solution. Thus, Canada should consider building a framework of humanitarian diplomacy with willing partners like Qatar. The greatest justice you can give to the displaced is a door back to where they belong. Every return is thus a defeat for those who drove them out.
Third, Canada should intensify engagement with regional powers in the ASEAN. In that effort, Canada should also build on working channels in the Canada-China relationship through issue-based engagement on humanitarian access and reconstruction.
Fourth, Canada can leverage its civil society and research ecosystem as a peace asset. The Oslo back channel and the Aceh peace process show how sustained non-governmental facilitation can open channels, build trust and support peace implementation.
Mr. Chair, my core message is this: Humanitarian assistance is essential, but it is not a substitute for a political and development strategy for internally and externally displaced persons, particularly in the case of the Rohingya.
If Canada wants fewer protracted crises and fewer generations stranded in limbo, our policy must match compassion with sustained conflict resolution capacity at the root of the conflict.
Thank you once again, and I welcome any further questions.