There are at least two parts to your question, because there's the collection of the money and there's the return of the money.
As to the collection of the money, there's more than one factor in play. The United States has now withdrawn its extraordinary challenge to the NAFTA panel that decided there was no subsidy. The secretariat of NAFTA has filed a notice of panel completion. We have questioned the notice for technical reasons; nevertheless, that panel is complete, and now it is formal and official, if you will, that there is no subsidy on Canadian softwood lumber, as decided by the NAFTA process.
Consequently, the countervailing duty order, had it not been terminated by the United States on October 12, would have been revoked by virtue of the notice of panel completion arising from the withdrawal of the extraordinary challenge. That would have necessarily ended the collection of countervailing duties. It would not have led to the return of the money, because the orders apply on the same entries; that is, there is a dumping order and a countervailing duty order, and since they apply to the same entry, removing the countervailing duty order doesn't liquidate the entry. There's still an anti-dumping order on the same entry.
But the decision of United States Court of International Trade on October 13 said that there was no threat of injury and finalized that question. That applies to both orders. The court decision is subject to appeal, and we'll know whether it's being appealed in mid-December. There is an expectation, of course, that it will be appealed. Both Canada and the United States moved to dismiss the decision and therefore effectively, although not technically, to vacate the decision.
We don't believe that decision will be dismissed. We think that the legal argument seeking dismissal is erroneous, because they presumed that the action of revoking the orders on October 12 mooted that decision on October 13, but because the entries had not been liquidated, that decision is not mooted. We've had one session with the court on that question, and it appears that the court agrees, so it's subject to appeal. The appeal to the Court of Appeals for the federal circuit, as I've testified here before, could take about a year.
This very strong unanimous decision of a three-judge panel led by the chief judge of the court will not be overturned. I say that with confidence. Consequently, at that time, when the Court of Appeals would uphold the decision, then money would be returned.
The last dangling question is where we would be with respect to the anti-dumping order. We believe that the court would enjoin further collection of the anti-dumping duties pending the appeal because of the decision and because of the elimination now of the countervailing duty order. We think that within a brief period of time, collections would have stopped. Collections of the countervailing duty, which is the lion's share of the money, about 8% of the 11%, would have stopped now already, and then money would not be returned for about 12 months.