I would like to thank the members of the committee. I am pleased to appear before you today.
The Fédération des producteurs de lait du Québec represents the province's 5,600 farms. The Fédération plays an important role in the economy. We have sales of $2.4 billion, or 3 billion litres of milk. The Fédération also makes an important contribution to the Canadian economy with respect to employment and the GDP.
Quebec's dairy processing sector is also very strong. It produces over 80% of yogurt in Canada and over 50% of cheese. It is also a leader in organic products.
I will very quickly provide some background on the trade agreements and agricultural policies.
First, I would like to point out that all industrialized countries have policies to support their agriculture. In the dairy sector, Canada has chosen supply management, a unique policy in the world, just as the agricultural policies of other countries are unique. The U.S. Farm Bill is unique. The common agricultural policy of the European Union is unique. Switzerland also has its own policy. So every country has its unique features.
Canada has always been able to sign free trade agreements that maintain the specific aspects of its agricultural policy, as all industrialized countries do. The concessions made in the two recent trade agreements, CETA, the Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic Trade Agreement, and the TPP, as well as certain inappropriate administrative decisions have, however, weakened Canada's dairy production industry.
Your committee is interested in the impact and consequences of the TPP. To better understand the outlook and degree of impact, let us recall certain elements of CETA which date from 2013.
In order to conclude the agreement, Canada made a major concession. It guaranteed access for 17,700 tonnes of cheese, 16,000 of which are very likely in the fine cheese sector. That represents between 20% and 30% of the market, weakening the industry greatly. These 16,000 tonnes are in addition to a concession of 20,400 tonnes that was already made under WTO agreements. This additional concession will clearly dramatically weaken Canada's dairy industry.
It will also have a major impact on producers. The amount of this additional concession can certainly not be made up by natural market growth, which is just 1% per year. As a result, CETA has led to a clear decline in Canadian market share for milk producers.
The TPP has a similar effect. To conclude this agreement which, we admit, benefits all Canadians, our country chose to make significant concessions guaranteeing 3% to 4% access to member countries. Canada's concessions in the dairy sector are proportionately greater than those offered by the other countries.
We are often asked if Canadian producers could gain market share by increasing exports. It should be noted that—and we will probably have the opportunity to talk about this later—the world market for dairy products is relatively marginal, given that just 7% to 8% of world dairy production is traded internationally.
This market is largely dominated by certain countries, the European Union, Oceania and the United States, which have huge processing capacities and whose production is supported by very generous agricultural policies. Moreover, these policies have been excluded from the negotiations. I can return to this during the question period.
While some gains can certainly be made in value-added niche markets, they are far less than the concessions made.
With respect to this agreement, which will very likely be supported by the whole country, we are asking for a positive sign to Canadian dairy producers, namely, that a first serious compensation program be established, for both for CETA and the TPP, as the previous government had started doing in October 2015.
Canadian producers' losses under these agreements are estimated at $400 million per year in perpetuity. We are therefore asking the government to maintain the focus of these programs, which have not yet been re-confirmed. I am referring in particular to the income guarantee program, which is valued at $2.4 billion and which will make up for part of these losses. The second program, valued at $1.5 billion, will also have to be re-oriented. It was intended to compensate for a loss in quota values.
In our opinion, this compensation is not relevant since there should not be any value losses in this respect and since the program was primarily intended for people leaving the industry. We are therefore requesting that this amount be maintained, but that the program be directed to people who will be staying in the industry.
I will be pleased to answer your questions.