I think that's exactly right. Markets have underpinning them certain presuppositions: full and free information, rational behaviour, and competition. However, when it comes to many markets, and certainly in pharmaceuticals, that is not the case. There tend to be oligopolies and there tends to be a high risk for those who invest, and as a result, different forms of trade secrets matter. I completely get the point that some things have to be secret, but the few things that do leak out don't make the system look good.
We make the point in our brief that African countries, whose citizens have a fraction of the per capita income of European Union citizens, might be paying two, three or four times more per dose for the vaccines than Europeans are. That can't be justified by any kind of market rationale, be it transparency or a humanitarian argument. I wish this was a case in which we had....
If we talk about full and free markets, let's be consistent about that. I wish we had a global clearing house in which these contracts were put up for inspection. I wish there was even more transparency in negotiations so that developing countries themselves, just as the European Union did, could band together and create the economies of scale and power structure that they need to negotiate prices and so on.
I have a final point on COVAX. I still very much support it. My views have evolved, in the sense that initially I thought it was absolutely the right thing to do to create a clearing house in which the world contributes vaccines and then gives them away to developing countries. The problem is that COVAX is in some ways perpetuating the problem. It's perpetuating the problem because it's purchasing vaccines at pretty much these untransparent, non-market market prices, and we're then giving them away. We have to link COVAX with a previous step that ensures the pricing structures are clear. On the structural commission, we did some back-of-the-hand calculations on rates of return, given the public subsidies the pharmaceutical companies have had. Our sense was that they had made their rates of return. If you then add subsequent doses, for which our marginal cost is lower, and more and more volume, you're very much into red territory.
There's a package of things we should be doing here.