There are two separate issues that I think are important to keep in mind.
One is that within the existing WTO TRIPS agreement, there is an exception that allows countries to do compulsory licensing. That's why we have that as a function of our law. South Africa and India could invoke compulsory licensing.
Two, the waiver issue is slightly different. We, as Canada, could do that for ourselves. As we did at the beginning of this pandemic, we could have a waiver that would allow us to have a compulsory licence for treatments or vaccines for COVID, but for our domestic use.
Where the waiver comes in is it would allow us to export to another country. The waiver is all about whether we have a Canadian company that will waive this right so they can export to some developing countries. The funny thing about the waiver is it isn't so much facilitating tech transfer as it may sound at first blush.
The other point is that we're seeing voluntary licensing. Remember, Serum Institute of India, which likes to call itself the biggest vaccine producer in the world, is making AstraZeneca or this Verity product under licence in India. I believe Aspen is going to be making Johnson & Johnson in South Africa. They are the go-to company, so if you were in South Africa and you were going to license somebody and you've already got Aspen making Johnson & Johnson, I'm not sure where you would go in South Africa. You might make Aspen even bigger, so that Aspen would end up doing Johnson & Johnson, Pfizer and the rest.
Then you've got some other questions that we didn't have to ask 20 years ago, but now, with the passage of time, I think we know that we're.... Look at Serum Institute. Serum Institute was initially licensed to make AstraZeneca product for sale into the least developed countries, but they're selling to Canada and they're talking about selling to Europe because of the short supplies in Europe. That's not what anyone had in mind when we started talking about licensing to those countries.
We're in a whole different world. I do think there is an important part about tech transfer. We've seen that. That's why Aspen's there. That's why Serum exists. The question is whether you would do that with something that wasn't even in existence a year ago and that we can't even get produced with stability, as we see if you take a look at the front pages of the papers now about Johnson & Johnson in Baltimore or AstraZeneca in their Belgium plant. This is tough stuff. What happens if there's a mistake and everybody around the world sees that on CNN and decides they don't want any part of these vaccines?
It sounds good; it's just that we're not there yet. We might get there at some point when the technology becomes more standardized.