Hello. I thank the committee for having invited me to appear.
My name is Jean-Paul Brodeur and I am a professor at the University of Montreal. I am also director of the International Centre of Comparative Criminology. From 1984 to 1987, I was the director of research for the Canadian Sentencing Commission.
I'll just say a few words about myself. I am a teacher at the University of Montreal, the director of a research centre, and I was director of research for the Canadian Sentencing Commission, which issued its report in 1987. So I have an abiding interest in sentencing.
You will be hearing arguments from many people. For one, you just heard representations from a lawyer. Some witnesses may also provide you with very detailed statistical analyses. That is not what I intend to do here today.
I want to address one question. I'll make some general comments, but my question is the following. One rationale for having a harsher penalty is to deter people from committing violent offences and offences with weapons. The question I'm going to address is whether people are susceptible to being deterred by such measures. That will be my main argument. Before saying so, I will make some general comments.
I have two general comments.
Take, for example, the studies that have been done on the deterrence effect. Do harsher penalties usually act as a deterrent? We might say that these studies cancel one another; in some cases, the outcome is positive, while other studies say that it is not. The results over time have been consistent. The deterrence effect, as observed for the past 30 years, has been modest and not everyone agrees with the theory that a harsher sentence will lead to a lower crime rate. The best example is, of course, the death penalty. American states that apply the death penalty don't necessarily have a lower murder rate.
Here is my second point. When the Canadian Sentencing Commission tabled its report, in 1987, it spoke out quite vigorously against minimum sentences. There were few remaining at that time; one of them was important: the seven-year minimum sentence for importing or exporting drugs. In 1987 the Supreme Court, in Smith v. R., overturned the seven-year minimum sentence citing various reasons and likening a seven-year minimum sentence, to cruel and unusual punishment.
This bill provides for minimum sentences of 7 and 10 years, respectively, for repeat offenders. Will these sentences meet the Charter and Supreme Court test? I am not at all sure of that.
I want to move to my main argument. Number one, is this bill of law necessary? It states that its objective is to increase the safety of Canadians. And here I just want to remind you that in December 2005 there was actually a paper--it was a whole book published by StatsCan--and it was a survey of Canadians, asking them whether they felt safe in Canada. There were four kinds of answers: very much so; I feel safe; not so much; and I do not feel at all safe.
I want to stress the fact that from 1988 to 2004, the number of people who answered that they felt very safe or safe grew from 88% to a fairly astonishing 94% in 2004. So that's a very high level of safety that is enjoyed by our citizens. Of course, one can always point to a shooting or to these incidents which are more than regrettable, and which should be denounced, and so forth and so on, but is it necessary to make legislation on the basis of the single scandalous incidents that are given a lot of spin by the media? I'm not sure.
I will now move on to my main point. Basically, the bill is about punishment and deterrence.
Will the people for whom this bill is intended, namely, those who use firearms or who commit violent crimes, be deterred from committing those offences?
I would like to advance three arguments to demonstrate that any deterrent effect would be slight.
At our centre we have research specialists who study the use of narcotics and drugs. They have found that 57% of murders are committed by people who are under the influence of drugs or alcohol consumed just before, or sometimes while committing the crime. The rate for attempted murder is 58%; for assault, 69%; for abduction, 54%; for sex-related offences, 44%. The statistics are the same for robbery. About 60% of those who commit these offences do so under the influence of alcohol or narcotics. Therefore, increasing the minimum sentence by one year will not act as much of a deterrent for them.
I myself have studied homicides; I have a data bank of about 153 homicide cases. Of the 153 cases, 71% were solved in less than 24 hours. I would like to stress that fact, because it means that many homicides are the result of a spontaneous criminal act, something done on the spur of the moment by way of, as we call it in our jargon, acting out. Once again, the bill would do little to deter this type of crime.
I would like to bring one final thing to your attention, something that surprised us. We questioned some young people who occasionally dealt drugs. We asked them if they were armed when engaging in such activities. We found that 32% of the drop-outs carried a weapon. Moreover, 55% of those who were charged under the Young Offenders Act carried either a firearm, a knife or some type of weapon. For those who were younger, the rate was 17%.
This is what it all means. The act may apply to youth, but it is more significant for gang members and those who engage in organized crime. These people find themselves, to a certain extent, between two types of threat: on the one hand, there is the law which tells them that if they commit the crime, they will be arrested and charged, and given a minimum sentence which, in some cases, can be rather long; on the other hand, the type of activity in which they are engaged requires that they carry a weapon.
These people are involved in dangerous transactions and often feel that they need a gun to protect themselves from assault. I am not saying that they are justified in doing so; I simply want to point out that the deterrent effect of these sentences is, to a great extent, neutralized by what they consider to be a necessity: the fact that they must be armed in order to conduct their business.
In closing, with respect to the security that Canadians enjoy, even though sensational incidents do occur, I see no real reason for this legislation. I don't think that it will reduce the rate of violent crimes or offences committed with weapons.
Rather, it could aggravate the situation in three ways.
First, by facilitating the arbitrary nature of plea bargaining, since, in many cases, the Crown has a choice between a summary conviction or invoking an indictable offence.
Secondly, as has already been mentioned, if we avoid the arbitrary and enforce the law in a mechanical way, then in all likelihood, proportionality will not be respected and the discretion of the judges will be unduly restricted.
Finally, one thing is certain, this act will lead to an increase in the prison population. We know that increasing the number of inmates is always a given, but is never part of the solution.
Thank you.