Assuming that Bill S-6 is passed into law, there will be no implications for 15 years, because that will be the length of time that people will have to wait...well, 16 years, till the anniversary of their 15th year.
After that it's difficult to predict. We have been unable to get accurate predictions because there are a number of other variables at work: a declining murder rate, an aging prison population. So we don't know, 15, 20, 25 years down the road, what the population in the prisons will be.
This is a question we've been asked many times, and that's the best response we can come up with right now. I'd suggest, if corrections officials come, that they be asked if they have better estimates.