It's always quite difficult to determine if it will lead to a kinetic response, as cyber-operations can be escalatory. It's oftentimes how it is combined with other efforts. A cyber-operation itself is not necessarily going to cause kinetic damage, but how states respond or use that operation in unison with kinetic operations is the great concern, which is what Russia has attempted to do in Ukraine.
On February 10th, 2023. See this statement in context.