Evidence of meeting #17 for National Defence in the 45th Parliament, 1st session. (The original version is on Parliament’s site, as are the minutes.) The winning word was million.

A video is available from Parliament.

On the agenda

Members speaking

Before the committee

David McGuinty  Minister of National Defence
Moor  Chief Financial Officer, Department of National Defence
Sheehy  Assistant Deputy Minister, Materiel, Department of National Defence
Mes  Deputy Commissioner, Canadian Coast Guard Programs, Department of National Defence
Beck  Deputy Minister, Department of National Defence
Kelsey  Vice Chief of the Defence Staff, Canadian Armed Forces, Department of National Defence
Xavier  Chief, Communications Security Establishment

The Chair Liberal Charles Sousa

We can do that in suspension too. I'll suspend just for a moment.

The Chair Liberal Charles Sousa

We are returning.

Monsieur Savard-Tremblay, do you have anything to add?

Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay Bloc Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton, QC

Yes, Mr. Chair.

Members have convinced me to withdraw my amendment to the amendment and to move another one.

The subamendment to the amendment, which, I would remind the committee, addressed two issues, once again proposes to keep the part about the Access to Information Act but now proposes that the documents be produced “before January 15, 2026” rather than “as soon as possible”.

That is the new subamendment that is on the table.

The Chair Liberal Charles Sousa

Do we have unanimous consent to resolve the initial subamendment?

Some hon. members

Agreed.

The Chair Liberal Charles Sousa

(Subamendment withdrawn)

Shall we proceed with the subamendment as stated by Monsieur Savard-Tremblay?

(Subamendment agreed to)

Back to the witnesses.... Are we proceeding?

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

James Bezan Conservative Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman, MB

No, we have to vote on the full amendment and motion.

The Chair Liberal Charles Sousa

Is there unanimous consent?

(Amendment as amended agreed to)

(Motion as amended agreed to)

Okay.

We are back to the witnesses, and I believe, Monsieur Savard-Tremblay, that was your time, so thank you for proceeding.

I am going to go to a Conservative member, and that will be Mr. Anderson.

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Ms. Beck, the modernization strategy assumes 8,500 new regular force and 8,500 new reserve personnel by 2040. Has your department modelled whether the current recruiting and training pipeline is capable of generating that number?

9:50 a.m.

Deputy Minister, Department of National Defence

Stefanie Beck

I'll turn to the vice-chief to add more, but that is absolutely what we are seized with.

I would say that it's not just as simple, in fact, as recruiting more people. It's making sure they have the equipment they need, the training grounds they need and the housing and benefits. This is a complex process that marches together, so it's not just a question—

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Indeed. Do you have an actual plan to do that?

9:50 a.m.

Deputy Minister, Department of National Defence

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Do you have a model?

9:50 a.m.

Deputy Minister, Department of National Defence

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Are we able to see that model?

9:50 a.m.

Deputy Minister, Department of National Defence

Stefanie Beck

Not at this minute, but we can certainly come back and go into more detail.

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Can we have that sent to us, then? Thanks so much.

General Kelsey, “Inflection Point 2025” makes it clear that Canada can't currently deploy and sustain even a single warfighting brigade, let alone a division. What is the timeline to grow the force to division scale?

9:50 a.m.

Vice Chief of the Defence Staff, Canadian Armed Forces, Department of National Defence

Stephen Kelsey

The first step is aggregating the combat divisions, as you alluded to with regard to “Inflection Point”, but they are hollow. We have the ability to deploy only one at a time if we aggregate the people and equipment as one. The army commander has quite a bit of work to do. He has a solid plan, but it requires detailed investment over time.

To your earlier question, he has plotted it out. This includes equipment, where those folks will be located and all the systems that will enable the individuals and families.

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Do we have a timeline on that?

9:50 a.m.

Vice Chief of the Defence Staff, Canadian Armed Forces, Department of National Defence

Stephen Kelsey

He has a timeline, but that's the aggregation of the structure we have. What he's working on now with his leadership team are the specifics of when the manoeuvre division will be combat ready, the continental division and, more importantly, the sustainment division. Those are the three—

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

We don't have a date on that, then.

9:50 a.m.

Vice Chief of the Defence Staff, Canadian Armed Forces, Department of National Defence

Stephen Kelsey

He does, but we need to actually plot through the specific investments.

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

Okay.

Expanding the CAF is impossible without retaining the trained force. What's the current attrition rate, and how does that compare with your forecasted attrition when modelling the force growth?

9:50 a.m.

Vice Chief of the Defence Staff, Canadian Armed Forces, Department of National Defence

Stephen Kelsey

That's a huge consideration. Our attrition when compared with our Five Eyes partners is actually better, but we're not satisfied. We plot individually how many people were projected to retire or move on, but it's only as good as the package of compensation and the ability of people joining to use the equipment they aspire to or believe in. It's the complete picture. We're spending as much energy on retention of the talent we have and cultivating that as we are on getting folks in the door.

9:50 a.m.

Conservative

Scott Anderson Conservative Vernon—Lake Country—Monashee, BC

In terms of the net effect, then, is the force at this moment actually expanding, or is it degrading?