Thanks very much.
Chairman Sousa, Vice-Chair Bezan, Vice-Chair Savard-Tremblay and distinguished members of the committee, I'm very pleased to share my views with you today.
My employer, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, or CSIS, does not take policy positions, so the remarks and opinions that I express today are entirely my own and don't necessarily reflect CSIS.
Just like coal and steel production in the 19th century, and perhaps oil in the 20th century, critical minerals are now keystones of national capabilities, alongside chip fabrication, aerospace and advanced manufacturing, information technology, artificial intelligence and energy.
The relationship between mining and defence is being reshaped by a fundamental shift in how critical minerals are perceived and governed. What was once largely driven by consumer product and energy transition objectives is now increasingly framed through a national security and industrial strategy lens. This shift is unfolding against a backdrop of heavy dependence on non-trusted or adversarial jurisdictions for mining, processing and refining and is exposing defence industries to geopolitical risk, trade disruptions and coercive leverage.
In response, Canada and allied governments are moving to re-anchor mineral supply chains domestically and within trusted networks. Bilateral and multilateral instruments and agreements are increasingly explicit about strengthening the resilience of supply chains and ensuring a secure sourcing of critical minerals essential for defence, rather than for a regular consumer market or climate goals alone.
Canada can position itself as a cornerstone of national security and defence-critical mineral supply for Canada and for its allies. Canada has reserves of all 12 of the minerals that NATO identifies as essential for defence manufacturing and is in active production of most of them, in addition to other minerals on the U.S. Department of Defense's critical minerals list and on the EU's critical minerals list as well.
Trade frictions between the United States and Canada have accelerated a push to diversify defence-related mineral exports, deepening ties with leading western economies through the G7 critical minerals action plan and with Europe through the security and defence partnership and the SAFE initiative, as well as aligning more closely with NATO's rearmament agenda.
In this context, minerals themselves could become a form of defence currency, an alternative pathway for Canada to meet readiness and burden-sharing objectives, in particular the 1.5% above the 3.5% NATO hard-core commitments to defence.
On the demand side, while regular consumer demand still drives markets, defence is becoming an increasingly important market signal, but one that is not always clear in terms of which specific minerals companies will require, and in what volumes and on what timelines. Unlike EV or battery markets, defence-driven demand is mediated through classified planning, procurement systems and shifting threat assessments.
The alignment of policies and regulatory frameworks remains another central challenge in the link between mining and defence. Defence-procurement authorities, industrial-policy agencies and mineral-regulatory bodies often operate under different mandates, timelines and levels of risk. Even when there is political consensus on the need to prioritize defence-critical minerals, this doesn't automatically translate into faster permitting processes or clearer regulatory decisions.
Recent initiatives, including those in the Building Canada Act and led by the Major Projects Office, which aim to streamline environmental assessments, centralize approvals for major projects and accelerate development deemed to be in the national interest, reflect an effort to reconcile the urgency identified by the critical-minerals industry with the integrity of the regulatory framework.
Financing constraints sit at the centre of the mining-defence relationship. Defence-critical minerals projects, particularly in processing and refining, are capital-intensive and also involve technology and scale-up risk.
I have argued in the past that Canada should establish its own version of a U.S. DPA Title III to co-invest in defence critical minerals, signalling government commitment and encouraging private capital. Perhaps the new Canadian critical minerals sovereign fund will achieve some of these objectives if it focuses some of its investments on defence-critical minerals.
Processing and midstream capacity represents one of the most acute bottlenecks. Investments in rare earth processing, magnet manufacturing and recycling illustrate both the opportunity and the difficulty of building mainstream capacity fast enough to meet defence timelines and the need to quickly pivot away from adversarial sources.
Progress is being made with the Saskatchewan Research Council's rare earth facility, Rio Tinto's scandium production plant in Quebec and Ucore Rare Metals' Kingston facility, for example.
For miners, all of these dynamics force strategic choices. Some will remain focused on supplying feedstock, while others may pursue deeper integration as strategic partners to processors, defence companies or governments. Debates over strategic stockpiles, direct public equity and alignment of mineral production with defence commitments illustrate how miners are increasingly operating within a geopolitical, as well as a commercial, calculus.
Taken together, these dynamics highlight a central tension: Defence-driven strategic intent is accelerating, but the institutional, commercial and industrial mechanisms needed to translate that intent into predictable demand, bankable projects and resilient supply chains are still catching up.
Thank you very much.